Argo Group International Price Prediction
| ARGODelisted Stock | USD 29.74 0.03 0.10% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
68
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Argo Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Argo Group International from the perspective of Argo Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Argo Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Argo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Argo Group after-hype prediction price | USD 29.74 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Argo |
Argo Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Argo Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Argo Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Argo Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Argo Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Argo Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Argo Group's historical news coverage. Argo Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 29.74 and 29.74, respectively. We have considered Argo Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Argo Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Argo Group International is based on 3 months time horizon.
Argo Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Argo Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Argo Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Argo Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
29.74 | 29.74 | 0.00 |
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Argo Group Hype Timeline
Argo Group International is presently traded for 29.74. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Argo is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Argo Group is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.74. About 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.69. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Argo Group International recorded a loss per share of 5.66. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of November 2022. The firm had 115:100 split on the 6th of March 2018. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.Argo Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Argo Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Argo Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Argo Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Argo Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SIGI | Selective Insurance Group | (2.56) | 10 per month | 1.21 | 0.02 | 2.13 | (1.82) | 8.59 | |
| KMPR | Kemper | 0.37 | 10 per month | 1.07 | 0.08 | 2.28 | (1.57) | 5.66 | |
| DGICB | Donegal Group B | 0.00 | 8 per month | 2.39 | 0.08 | 7.61 | (4.52) | 14.48 | |
| ARGO-PA | Argo Group International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.27 | (0.28) | 0.60 | (0.48) | 1.78 | |
| GBLI | Global Indemnity PLC | (0.50) | 6 per month | 0.99 | 0.04 | 2.91 | (1.97) | 7.14 | |
| HMN | Horace Mann Educators | (0.70) | 9 per month | 1.32 | 0.1 | 2.13 | (2.23) | 11.51 | |
| RLI | RLI Corp | 0.16 | 11 per month | 1.15 | 0.11 | 1.76 | (1.82) | 7.01 | |
| PRA | ProAssurance | (0.13) | 8 per month | 1.77 | 0.08 | 3.11 | (3.27) | 11.78 |
Argo Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Argo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Argo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Argo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Argo Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Argo Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Argo Group International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Argo Group based on analysis of Argo Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Argo Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Argo Group's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Argo Group
The number of cover stories for Argo Group depends on current market conditions and Argo Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Argo Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Argo Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Argo Group Short Properties
Argo Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Argo Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Argo Group International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Argo Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Argo Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 50.2 M |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price. You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Other Consideration for investing in Argo Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Argo Group International check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Argo Group's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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