Arm Holdings Plc Stock Price Prediction
| ARM Stock | 159.55 6.32 4.12% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.1 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.34 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.5598 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.0446 | Wall Street Target Price 148.0441 |
Using Arm Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Arm Holdings plc from the perspective of Arm Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Arm Holdings using Arm Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Arm using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Arm Holdings' stock price.
Arm Holdings Short Interest
An investor who is long Arm Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Arm Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge Arm Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 137.4471 | Short Percent 0.0966 | Short Ratio 2.66 | Shares Short Prior Month 13 M | 50 Day MA 140.5058 |
Arm Holdings plc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Arm Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Arm. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Arm can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Arm Holdings plc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Arm Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Arm Holdings.
Arm Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.64 |
Arm Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Arm Holdings plc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Arm Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Arm Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Arm Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Arm Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Arm because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Arm Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 159.57 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Arm contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Arm Holdings plc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.04% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Arm Holdings trading at USD 159.55, that is roughly USD 0.0638 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Arm Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Arm Holdings plc options at the current volatility level of 0.64%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Arm |
Arm Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Arm Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Arm Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Arm Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Arm Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Arm Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Arm Holdings' historical news coverage. Arm Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 155.54 and 163.60, respectively. We have considered Arm Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Arm Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Arm Holdings plc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Arm Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Arm Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Arm Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Arm Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 4.03 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 10 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
159.55 | 159.57 | 0.01 |
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Arm Holdings Hype Timeline
On the 1st of February Arm Holdings plc is traded for 159.55. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Arm is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 159.57 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.33%. The volatility of related hype on Arm Holdings is about 3398.8%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 159.51. The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.23 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 306 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.39 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Arm Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Arm Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Arm Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Arm Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Arm Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Arm Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BNTX | BioNTech SE | 0.84 | 12 per month | 2.83 | 0.02 | 5.55 | (4.92) | 14.16 | |
| KUYAF | Kuya Silver | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 5.88 | (5.56) | 24.16 | |
| HUSIF | Nicola Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 5.26 | (8.00) | 38.64 | |
| TARS | Tarsus Pharmaceuticals | (0.91) | 10 per month | 2.61 | 0.12 | 5.47 | (3.90) | 21.35 | |
| ZIJMF | Zijin Mining Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 6.38 | (6.19) | 16.52 | |
| LPCN | Lipocine | (0.76) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 6.55 | (7.76) | 24.60 | |
| HGMCF | Harmony Gold Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.97 |
Arm Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Arm price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Arm using various technical indicators. When you analyze Arm charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Arm Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Arm Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Arm Holdings plc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Arm Holdings based on analysis of Arm Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Arm Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Arm Holdings's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0108 | 0.0096 | Price To Sales Ratio | 36.3 | 23.48 |
Story Coverage note for Arm Holdings
The number of cover stories for Arm Holdings depends on current market conditions and Arm Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Arm Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Arm Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Arm Holdings Short Properties
Arm Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Arm Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Arm Holdings plc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Arm Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arm Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.9 B |
Check out Arm Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arm Holdings. If investors know Arm will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Arm Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.1 | Earnings Share 0.6 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.047 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Arm Holdings plc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Arm that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Arm Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Arm Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Arm Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Arm Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Arm Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Arm Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Arm Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.