Ascendis Health (South Africa) Price Prediction

ASC Stock   72.00  3.00  4.00%   
At the present time, the value of RSI of Ascendis Health's share price is approaching 47. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ascendis Health, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

47

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Ascendis Health's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Ascendis Health and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Ascendis Health's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ascendis Health, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Ascendis Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ascendis Health from the perspective of Ascendis Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ascendis Health to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ascendis because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Ascendis Health after-hype prediction price

    
  ZAC 75.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Ascendis Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
56.8459.1382.50
Details

Ascendis Health After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Ascendis Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ascendis Health or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ascendis Health, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Ascendis Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Ascendis Health's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ascendis Health's historical news coverage. Ascendis Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 72.71 and 77.29, respectively. We have considered Ascendis Health's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
72.00
75.00
After-hype Price
77.29
Upside
Ascendis Health is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ascendis Health is based on 3 months time horizon.

Ascendis Health Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ascendis Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ascendis Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ascendis Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.01 
2.35
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
72.00
75.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Ascendis Health Hype Timeline

Ascendis Health is presently traded for 72.00on Johannesburg Exchange of South Africa. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Ascendis is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ascendis Health is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 72.00. About 41.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.82. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ascendis Health recorded a loss per share of 0.38. The entity last dividend was issued on the 10th of May 2017. The firm had 1228:1213 split on the 10th of August 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Ascendis Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Ascendis Health Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Ascendis Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ascendis Health's future price movements. Getting to know how Ascendis Health's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ascendis Health may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Ascendis Health Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ascendis price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ascendis using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ascendis charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Ascendis Health Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Ascendis Health stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ascendis Health, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ascendis Health based on analysis of Ascendis Health hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ascendis Health's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ascendis Health's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Ascendis Health

The number of cover stories for Ascendis Health depends on current market conditions and Ascendis Health's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ascendis Health is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ascendis Health's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Ascendis Health Short Properties

Ascendis Health's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ascendis Health's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ascendis Health often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ascendis Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ascendis Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding481.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments264 M

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When running Ascendis Health's price analysis, check to measure Ascendis Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ascendis Health is operating at the current time. Most of Ascendis Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ascendis Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ascendis Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ascendis Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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