Alpha Technology Group Stock Price Patterns
| ATGL Stock | 20.80 1.10 5.02% |
Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.31) |
Using Alpha Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alpha Technology Group from the perspective of Alpha Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Alpha Technology to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Alpha because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Alpha Technology after-hype prediction price | USD 18.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Alpha Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Alpha Technology After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Alpha Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Alpha Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Alpha Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Alpha Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Alpha Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Alpha Technology's historical news coverage. Alpha Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.91 and 38.67, respectively. We have considered Alpha Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Alpha Technology is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Alpha Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.
Alpha Technology Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Alpha Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Alpha Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Alpha Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.61 | 20.51 | 2.64 | 0.14 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.80 | 18.16 | 12.69 |
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Alpha Technology Hype Timeline
Alpha Technology is presently traded for 20.80. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -2.64, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.14. Alpha is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 18.16. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -12.69%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 1.61%. The volatility of related hype on Alpha Technology is about 22788.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.94. About 82.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Alpha Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Alpha Technology Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Alpha Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Alpha Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how Alpha Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Alpha Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PAYS | Paysign | (0.17) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 4.16 | (4.16) | 12.59 | |
| KLTR | Kaltura | 0.12 | 10 per month | 3.94 | 0.02 | 8.16 | (6.70) | 32.77 | |
| DGXX | Digi Power X | (0.05) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 15.26 | (12.53) | 46.52 | |
| SMRT | SmartRent | 0.02 | 7 per month | 2.16 | 0.05 | 5.75 | (4.06) | 21.69 | |
| EGHT | 8x8 Common Stock | 0.03 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.40 | (4.84) | 34.75 | |
| AZ | A2Z Smart Technologies | 0.06 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 7.60 | (7.74) | 25.03 | |
| PDYN | Palladyne AI Corp | 0.09 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 12.65 | (7.57) | 26.24 | |
| ALTS | ALT5 Sigma | 0.22 | 8 per month | 5.93 | 0.02 | 15.07 | (9.81) | 40.07 | |
| TCX | Tucows Inc | 0.61 | 9 per month | 2.68 | 0.09 | 5.31 | (4.36) | 16.41 | |
| TRAK | ReposiTrak | (0.03) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 2.07 | (4.38) | 9.78 |
Alpha Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Alpha price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alpha using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alpha charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Alpha Technology Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Alpha Technology stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Alpha Technology Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Alpha Technology based on analysis of Alpha Technology hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Alpha Technology's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Alpha Technology's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Interest Debt Per Share | 0.14 | 0.23 | 0.27 | 0.21 | Revenue Per Share | 0.66 | 0.81 | 0.73 | 0.41 |
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Alpha Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Is IT Consulting & Other Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alpha Technology. If investors know Alpha will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Alpha Technology assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Investors evaluate Alpha Technology using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Alpha Technology's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Alpha Technology's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Alpha Technology's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Alpha Technology represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Alpha Technology's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.