Bayer Aktiengesellscha (Germany) Price Prediction
| BAYA Stock | EUR 4.80 0.14 2.83% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
35
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Bayer Aktiengesellscha hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bayer Aktiengesellschaft from the perspective of Bayer Aktiengesellscha response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bayer Aktiengesellscha to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bayer because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Bayer Aktiengesellscha after-hype prediction price | EUR 4.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Bayer |
Bayer Aktiengesellscha After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bayer Aktiengesellscha at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bayer Aktiengesellscha or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bayer Aktiengesellscha, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bayer Aktiengesellscha Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bayer Aktiengesellscha's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bayer Aktiengesellscha's historical news coverage. Bayer Aktiengesellscha's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.74 and 8.86, respectively. We have considered Bayer Aktiengesellscha's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bayer Aktiengesellscha is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bayer Aktiengesellschaft is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bayer Aktiengesellscha Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bayer Aktiengesellscha is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bayer Aktiengesellscha backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bayer Aktiengesellscha, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.47 | 4.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.80 | 4.80 | 0.00 |
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Bayer Aktiengesellscha Hype Timeline
Bayer Aktiengesellschaft is currently traded for 4.80on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Bayer is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.47%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bayer Aktiengesellscha is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.80. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.32. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bayer Aktiengesellschaft has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.28. The entity last dividend was issued on the 2nd of May 2022. The firm had 400:100 split on the 20th of September 2017. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Bayer Aktiengesellscha Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Bayer Aktiengesellscha Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bayer Aktiengesellscha's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bayer Aktiengesellscha's future price movements. Getting to know how Bayer Aktiengesellscha's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bayer Aktiengesellscha may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BMU | Benchmark Electronics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.53 | 0.09 | 3.57 | (3.31) | 13.06 | |
| 4BY | BYD ELECTRONIC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.09 | 0.05 | 8.93 | (8.87) | 27.75 | |
| A9F | Alfa Financial Software | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.40 | 0.06 | 3.57 | (2.40) | 16.06 | |
| ERT | Electronic Arts | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.73 | 0.12 | 1.86 | (1.42) | 4.86 | |
| SZL | SOLSTAD OFFSHORE NK | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.41 | (0.01) | 5.78 | (4.26) | 12.16 | |
| S4M | STORE ELECTRONIC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.88 | (0.04) | 3.12 | (2.95) | 10.16 | |
| IHCB | SBM OFFSHORE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.24 | (0.06) | 2.22 | (2.48) | 7.82 | |
| TKE | Take Two Interactive Software | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.89 | 0.14 | 2.49 | (1.90) | 7.45 |
Bayer Aktiengesellscha Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bayer price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bayer using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bayer charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Bayer Aktiengesellscha Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Bayer Aktiengesellscha stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bayer Aktiengesellschaft, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bayer Aktiengesellscha based on analysis of Bayer Aktiengesellscha hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bayer Aktiengesellscha's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bayer Aktiengesellscha's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Bayer Aktiengesellscha
The number of cover stories for Bayer Aktiengesellscha depends on current market conditions and Bayer Aktiengesellscha's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bayer Aktiengesellscha is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bayer Aktiengesellscha's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bayer Aktiengesellscha Short Properties
Bayer Aktiengesellscha's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bayer Aktiengesellscha's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bayer Aktiengesellschaft often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bayer Aktiengesellscha's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bayer Aktiengesellscha's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 982.4 M |
Complementary Tools for Bayer Stock analysis
When running Bayer Aktiengesellscha's price analysis, check to measure Bayer Aktiengesellscha's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bayer Aktiengesellscha is operating at the current time. Most of Bayer Aktiengesellscha's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bayer Aktiengesellscha's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bayer Aktiengesellscha's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bayer Aktiengesellscha to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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