Bayerische Motoren (Germany) Price Prediction

BMW Stock  EUR 69.10  1.06  1.56%   
The value of RSI of Bayerische Motoren's share price is below 30 as of 25th of November 2024 suggesting that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bayerische Motoren Werke, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

29

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Bayerische Motoren's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Bayerische Motoren and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Bayerische Motoren's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bayerische Motoren Werke, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Bayerische Motoren hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bayerische Motoren Werke from the perspective of Bayerische Motoren response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bayerische Motoren to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bayerische because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Bayerische Motoren after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 69.1  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Bayerische Motoren Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
62.1971.8973.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
66.4468.5470.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
67.4168.5369.66
Details

Bayerische Motoren After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Bayerische Motoren at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bayerische Motoren or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bayerische Motoren, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Bayerische Motoren Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Bayerische Motoren's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bayerische Motoren's historical news coverage. Bayerische Motoren's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 67.01 and 71.19, respectively. We have considered Bayerische Motoren's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
69.10
69.10
After-hype Price
71.19
Upside
Bayerische Motoren is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bayerische Motoren Werke is based on 3 months time horizon.

Bayerische Motoren Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bayerische Motoren is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bayerische Motoren backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bayerische Motoren, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.32 
2.09
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
69.10
69.10
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Bayerische Motoren Hype Timeline

Bayerische Motoren Werke is currently traded for 69.10on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Bayerische is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.32%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bayerische Motoren is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 69.10. About 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.64. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bayerische Motoren Werke has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.26. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 27.58. The firm last dividend was issued on the 12th of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Bayerische Motoren Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Bayerische Motoren Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Bayerische Motoren's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bayerische Motoren's future price movements. Getting to know how Bayerische Motoren's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bayerische Motoren may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Bayerische Motoren Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bayerische price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bayerische using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bayerische charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Bayerische Motoren Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Bayerische Motoren stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bayerische Motoren Werke, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bayerische Motoren based on analysis of Bayerische Motoren hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bayerische Motoren's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bayerische Motoren's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Bayerische Motoren

The number of cover stories for Bayerische Motoren depends on current market conditions and Bayerische Motoren's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bayerische Motoren is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bayerische Motoren's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Bayerische Motoren Short Properties

Bayerische Motoren's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bayerische Motoren's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bayerische Motoren Werke often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bayerische Motoren's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bayerische Motoren's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding661.4 M

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