BNP Paribas (Poland) Price Prediction
| BNP Stock | 84.60 0.40 0.48% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
47
Oversold | Overbought |
Using BNP Paribas hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BNP Paribas Bank from the perspective of BNP Paribas response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in BNP Paribas to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying BNP because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
BNP Paribas after-hype prediction price | PLN 84.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
BNP |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BNP Paribas' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
BNP Paribas After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of BNP Paribas at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BNP Paribas or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BNP Paribas, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BNP Paribas Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting BNP Paribas' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BNP Paribas' historical news coverage. BNP Paribas' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 82.61 and 86.59, respectively. We have considered BNP Paribas' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
BNP Paribas is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BNP Paribas Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.
BNP Paribas Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BNP Paribas is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BNP Paribas backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BNP Paribas, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.29 | 1.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
84.60 | 84.60 | 0.00 |
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BNP Paribas Hype Timeline
BNP Paribas Bank is currently traded for 84.60on Warsaw Stock Exchange of Poland. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. BNP is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.29%. %. The volatility of related hype on BNP Paribas is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 84.60. About 87.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.79. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. BNP Paribas Bank had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 722:705 split on the 12th of June 2018. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out BNP Paribas Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.BNP Paribas Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BNP Paribas' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BNP Paribas' future price movements. Getting to know how BNP Paribas' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BNP Paribas may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| UCG | UniCredit SpA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.70 | 0 | 2.84 | (4.27) | 9.55 | |
| SPL | Santander Bank Polska | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.97 | (3.09) | 11.50 |
BNP Paribas Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BNP price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BNP using various technical indicators. When you analyze BNP charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About BNP Paribas Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of BNP Paribas stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as BNP Paribas Bank, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BNP Paribas based on analysis of BNP Paribas hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to BNP Paribas's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to BNP Paribas's related companies.
Story Coverage note for BNP Paribas
The number of cover stories for BNP Paribas depends on current market conditions and BNP Paribas' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BNP Paribas is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BNP Paribas' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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BNP Paribas Short Properties
BNP Paribas' future price predictability will typically decrease when BNP Paribas' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BNP Paribas Bank often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BNP Paribas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BNP Paribas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 147.5 M |
Additional Tools for BNP Stock Analysis
When running BNP Paribas' price analysis, check to measure BNP Paribas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BNP Paribas is operating at the current time. Most of BNP Paribas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BNP Paribas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BNP Paribas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BNP Paribas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.