Barnwell Industries Stock Price Prediction
| BRN Stock | USD 1.69 0.01 0.60% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
35
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
Using Barnwell Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Barnwell Industries from the perspective of Barnwell Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Barnwell Industries to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Barnwell because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Barnwell Industries after-hype prediction price | USD 1.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Barnwell |
Barnwell Industries After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Barnwell Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Barnwell Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Barnwell Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Barnwell Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Barnwell Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Barnwell Industries' historical news coverage. Barnwell Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 4.12, respectively. We have considered Barnwell Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Barnwell Industries is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Barnwell Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.
Barnwell Industries Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Barnwell Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Barnwell Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Barnwell Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.48 | 2.44 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 7 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.69 | 1.68 | 0.59 |
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Barnwell Industries Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November Barnwell Industries is traded for 1.69. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Barnwell is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.68. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.59%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.48%. The volatility of related hype on Barnwell Industries is about 7426.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.71. About 56.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.12. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Barnwell Industries recorded a loss per share of 0.38. The entity last dividend was issued on the 23rd of August 2023. The firm had 3:1 split on the 15th of November 2005. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Barnwell Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Barnwell Industries Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Barnwell Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Barnwell Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how Barnwell Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Barnwell Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HUSA | Houston American Energy | 0.01 | 4 per month | 5.27 | 0.07 | 11.11 | (7.14) | 37.16 | |
| MXC | Mexco Energy | 0.24 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.43 | (7.99) | 19.69 | |
| REI | Ring Energy | 0.04 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.43 | (5.33) | 18.99 | |
| PVL | Permianville Royalty Trust | (0.02) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.38 | (4.91) | 12.07 | |
| GTE | Gran Tierra Energy | 0.09 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.31 | (4.63) | 12.49 | |
| EPSN | Epsilon Energy | (0.1) | 6 per month | 2.17 | 0.04 | 4.46 | (3.74) | 11.32 | |
| EPM | Evolution Petroleum | (0.03) | 8 per month | 1.63 | 0.09 | 3.99 | (2.93) | 20.30 |
Barnwell Industries Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Barnwell price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Barnwell using various technical indicators. When you analyze Barnwell charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Barnwell Industries Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Barnwell Industries stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Barnwell Industries, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Barnwell Industries based on analysis of Barnwell Industries hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Barnwell Industries's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Barnwell Industries's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0228 | 0.0262 | 0.0195 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.04 | 1.2 | 1.42 |
Story Coverage note for Barnwell Industries
The number of cover stories for Barnwell Industries depends on current market conditions and Barnwell Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Barnwell Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Barnwell Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Barnwell Industries Short Properties
Barnwell Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when Barnwell Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Barnwell Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Barnwell Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Barnwell Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.8 M |
Check out Barnwell Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Barnwell Stock, please use our How to Invest in Barnwell Industries guide.You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Barnwell Industries. If investors know Barnwell will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Barnwell Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | Earnings Share (0.38) | Revenue Per Share 2.428 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) | Return On Assets (0.04) |
The market value of Barnwell Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Barnwell that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Barnwell Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Barnwell Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Barnwell Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Barnwell Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Barnwell Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Barnwell Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Barnwell Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.