Bluescope Steel (Australia) Price Prediction
| BSL Stock | 22.43 1.18 5.55% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.06 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.8 | Wall Street Target Price 21.5683 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
Using Bluescope Steel hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bluescope Steel from the perspective of Bluescope Steel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bluescope Steel to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bluescope because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Bluescope Steel after-hype prediction price | AUD 22.66 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Bluescope |
Bluescope Steel After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bluescope Steel at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bluescope Steel or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bluescope Steel, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bluescope Steel Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bluescope Steel's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bluescope Steel's historical news coverage. Bluescope Steel's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.74 and 24.58, respectively. We have considered Bluescope Steel's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bluescope Steel is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bluescope Steel is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bluescope Steel Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bluescope Steel is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bluescope Steel backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bluescope Steel, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 1.92 | 0.23 | 0.03 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
22.43 | 22.66 | 1.03 |
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Bluescope Steel Hype Timeline
Bluescope Steel is currently traded for 22.43on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.23, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Bluescope is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 22.66 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 144.36%. The price appreciation on the next news is anticipated to be 1.03%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Bluescope Steel is about 973.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.46. The company reported the revenue of 17.06 B. Net Income was 804.7 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.82 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be very soon. Check out Bluescope Steel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Bluescope Steel Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bluescope Steel's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bluescope Steel's future price movements. Getting to know how Bluescope Steel's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bluescope Steel may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NST | Northern Star Resources | (0.01) | 2 per month | 1.92 | 0.05 | 3.53 | (2.65) | 11.36 | |
| EVN | Evolution Mining | 0.02 | 2 per month | 2.06 | 0.04 | 4.17 | (3.23) | 13.39 | |
| BSL | Bluescope Steel | 1.33 | 1 per month | 1.59 | 0.01 | 2.66 | (2.92) | 8.75 | |
| SFR | Sandfire Resources NL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.76 | 0.03 | 3.29 | (2.69) | 9.61 | |
| ATM | Aneka Tambang Tbk | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 0.00 | (0.97) | 16.07 | |
| PRU | Perseus Mining | 0.05 | 1 per month | 2.20 | (0.02) | 3.14 | (4.05) | 17.15 | |
| DEG | De Grey Mining | (0.01) | 1 per month | 2.30 | 0.08 | 4.32 | (3.27) | 12.51 |
Bluescope Steel Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bluescope price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bluescope using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bluescope charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Bluescope Steel Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Bluescope Steel stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bluescope Steel, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bluescope Steel based on analysis of Bluescope Steel hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bluescope Steel's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bluescope Steel's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Bluescope Steel
The number of cover stories for Bluescope Steel depends on current market conditions and Bluescope Steel's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bluescope Steel is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bluescope Steel's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bluescope Steel Short Properties
Bluescope Steel's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bluescope Steel's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bluescope Steel often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bluescope Steel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bluescope Steel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 450.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Additional Tools for Bluescope Stock Analysis
When running Bluescope Steel's price analysis, check to measure Bluescope Steel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bluescope Steel is operating at the current time. Most of Bluescope Steel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bluescope Steel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bluescope Steel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bluescope Steel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.