John Hancock Financial Fund Price Patterns
| BTO Fund | USD 37.53 0.38 1.02% |
Momentum 59
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using John Hancock hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of John Hancock Financial from the perspective of John Hancock response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in John Hancock to buy its fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying John because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
John Hancock after-hype prediction price | USD 37.53 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
John |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of John Hancock's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
John Hancock After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of John Hancock at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in John Hancock or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Fund prices, such as prices of John Hancock, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
John Hancock Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting John Hancock's fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on John Hancock's historical news coverage. John Hancock's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 36.31 and 38.75, respectively. We have considered John Hancock's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
John Hancock is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of John Hancock Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
John Hancock Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Fund such as John Hancock is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading John Hancock backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with John Hancock, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 1.22 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 4 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
37.53 | 37.53 | 0.00 |
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John Hancock Hype Timeline
On the 31st of January John Hancock Financial is traded for 37.53. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. John is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on John Hancock is about 3388.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 37.54. About 21.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.14. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. John Hancock Financial recorded earning per share (EPS) of 13.5. The entity last dividend was issued on the 9th of September 2022. The firm had a split on the 30th of December 2008. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out John Hancock Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.John Hancock Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to John Hancock's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict John Hancock's future price movements. Getting to know how John Hancock's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how John Hancock may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PDT | John Hancock Premium | 0.03 | 4 per month | 0.52 | (0.07) | 0.78 | (0.93) | 2.59 | |
| GMLGX | Guidemark Large Cap | 0.06 | 13 per month | 0.72 | (0.02) | 1.22 | (1.20) | 3.46 | |
| RMBKX | Rmb Mendon Financial | 0.18 | 1 per month | 0.79 | 0.18 | 3.06 | (1.20) | 8.81 | |
| UOPSX | Ultranasdaq 100 Profund Ultranasdaq 100 | (0.13) | 2 per month | 2.31 | (0) | 3.24 | (4.10) | 9.50 | |
| HTD | John Hancock Tax | (0.03) | 3 per month | 0.89 | (0.07) | 1.24 | (1.43) | 3.58 | |
| ALZFX | Alger Capital Appreciation | 0.06 | 4 per month | 1.33 | 0.05 | 2.24 | (2.63) | 8.01 | |
| NOSGX | Northern Small Cap | 0.11 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.13 | 2.50 | (1.24) | 71.02 | |
| STK | Columbia Seligman Premium | 0.22 | 8 per month | 1.34 | 0.09 | 2.24 | (2.28) | 7.32 | |
| HPI | John Hancock Preferred | (0.07) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 0.72 | (0.72) | 1.66 | |
| WFLLX | Wells Fargo Large | (0.07) | 1 per month | 0.21 | 0.05 | 0.96 | (0.70) | 2.56 |
John Hancock Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine John price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for John using various technical indicators. When you analyze John charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About John Hancock Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of John Hancock stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as John Hancock Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of John Hancock based on analysis of John Hancock hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to John Hancock's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to John Hancock's related companies.
Pair Trading with John Hancock
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if John Hancock position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in John Hancock will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with John Fund
| 0.89 | ECLP | Eclipsys Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.73 | NEA | Nuveen Amt Free | PairCorr |
| 0.7 | NVG | Nuveen Amt Free | PairCorr |
| 0.85 | VINEX | Vanguard International | PairCorr |
| 0.84 | RPIHX | T Rowe Price | PairCorr |
Moving against John Fund
The ability to find closely correlated positions to John Hancock could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace John Hancock when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back John Hancock - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling John Hancock Financial to buy it.
The correlation of John Hancock is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as John Hancock moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if John Hancock Financial moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for John Hancock can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Other Information on Investing in John Fund
John Hancock financial ratios help investors to determine whether John Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in John with respect to the benefits of owning John Hancock security.
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