Babcock Wilcox Enterprises, Stock Price Prediction
| BWSN Stock | USD 23.50 0.06 0.25% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using Babcock Wilcox hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Babcock Wilcox Enterprises, from the perspective of Babcock Wilcox response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Babcock Wilcox to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Babcock because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Babcock Wilcox after-hype prediction price | USD 23.51 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Babcock |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Babcock Wilcox's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Babcock Wilcox After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Babcock Wilcox at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Babcock Wilcox or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Babcock Wilcox, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Babcock Wilcox Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Babcock Wilcox's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Babcock Wilcox's historical news coverage. Babcock Wilcox's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.68 and 24.34, respectively. We have considered Babcock Wilcox's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Babcock Wilcox is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Babcock Wilcox Enter is based on 3 months time horizon.
Babcock Wilcox Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Babcock Wilcox is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Babcock Wilcox backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Babcock Wilcox, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 0.83 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
23.50 | 23.51 | 0.04 |
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Babcock Wilcox Hype Timeline
Babcock Wilcox Enter is currently traded for 23.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Babcock is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 23.51 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Babcock Wilcox is about 477.01%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.53. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 999.35 M. Net Loss for the year was (78.87 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be very soon. Check out Babcock Wilcox Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Babcock Wilcox Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Babcock Wilcox's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Babcock Wilcox's future price movements. Getting to know how Babcock Wilcox's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Babcock Wilcox may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HROWL | Harrow Health 8625 | 0.19 | 1 per month | 0.23 | (0.30) | 0.59 | (0.55) | 1.92 | |
| BWNB | Babcock Wilcox Enterprises | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.87 | 0.06 | 2.07 | (1.89) | 6.48 | |
| RILYT | B Riley Financial | 1.11 | 3 per month | 4.84 | (0) | 10.55 | (9.24) | 36.84 | |
| RILYO | B Riley Financial | (0.42) | 1 per month | 0.42 | (0.16) | 1.20 | (0.86) | 2.95 | |
| ECCX | Eagle Point Credit | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.35 | (0.26) | 0.65 | (0.56) | 2.10 |
Babcock Wilcox Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Babcock price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Babcock using various technical indicators. When you analyze Babcock charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Babcock Wilcox Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Babcock Wilcox stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Babcock Wilcox Enterprises,, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Babcock Wilcox based on analysis of Babcock Wilcox hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Babcock Wilcox's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Babcock Wilcox's related companies. | 2022 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0292 | 0.09 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.57 | 0.12 |
Story Coverage note for Babcock Wilcox
The number of cover stories for Babcock Wilcox depends on current market conditions and Babcock Wilcox's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Babcock Wilcox is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Babcock Wilcox's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Babcock Wilcox Short Properties
Babcock Wilcox's future price predictability will typically decrease when Babcock Wilcox's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Babcock Wilcox Enterprises, often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Babcock Wilcox's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Babcock Wilcox's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 89 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 11.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 71 M |
Check out Babcock Wilcox Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Is Construction Materials space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Babcock Wilcox. If investors know Babcock will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Babcock Wilcox listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Babcock Wilcox Enter is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Babcock that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Babcock Wilcox's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Babcock Wilcox's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Babcock Wilcox's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Babcock Wilcox's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Babcock Wilcox's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Babcock Wilcox is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Babcock Wilcox's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.