Ceco Environmental Corp Stock Price Patterns
| CECO Stock | USD 72.37 4.31 6.33% |
Momentum 70
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.33) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.415 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.004 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.4817 | Wall Street Target Price 64 |
Using CECO Environmental hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CECO Environmental Corp from the perspective of CECO Environmental response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CECO Environmental using CECO Environmental's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CECO using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CECO Environmental's stock price.
CECO Environmental Short Interest
An investor who is long CECO Environmental may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about CECO Environmental and may potentially protect profits, hedge CECO Environmental with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 44.6375 | Short Percent 0.0743 | Short Ratio 7.93 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.1 M | 50 Day MA 61.1524 |
CECO Environmental Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to CECO Environmental's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CECO. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CECO can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CECO Environmental Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of CECO Environmental's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about CECO Environmental.
CECO Environmental Implied Volatility | 0.72 |
CECO Environmental's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CECO Environmental Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CECO Environmental's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CECO Environmental stock will not fluctuate a lot when CECO Environmental's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CECO Environmental to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CECO because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
CECO Environmental after-hype prediction price | USD 72.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CECO contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that CECO Environmental Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.045% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With CECO Environmental trading at USD 72.37, that is roughly USD 0.0326 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating CECO Environmental's daily price movement you should consider acquiring CECO Environmental Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.72%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out CECO Environmental Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CECO Environmental's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CECO Environmental After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CECO Environmental at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CECO Environmental or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CECO Environmental, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CECO Environmental Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CECO Environmental's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CECO Environmental's historical news coverage. CECO Environmental's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 70.22 and 75.38, respectively. We have considered CECO Environmental's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CECO Environmental is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CECO Environmental Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
CECO Environmental Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CECO Environmental is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CECO Environmental backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CECO Environmental, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.51 | 2.58 | 0.43 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
72.37 | 72.80 | 0.59 |
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CECO Environmental Hype Timeline
CECO Environmental Corp is currently traded for 72.37. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.43, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. CECO is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 72.8 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.59%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.51%. The volatility of related hype on CECO Environmental is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 72.37. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 557.93 M. Net Income was 14.42 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 250.55 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out CECO Environmental Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.CECO Environmental Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CECO Environmental's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CECO Environmental's future price movements. Getting to know how CECO Environmental's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CECO Environmental may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| INTWF | Sharc International Systems | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.34 | 0.1 | 25.00 | (17.42) | 61.11 | |
| BNET | Bion Environmental Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 9.19 | 0.06 | 17.65 | (15.79) | 72.86 | |
| QUTIF | Questor Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 44.44 | |
| ETCC | Environmmtl Tectonic | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 5.51 | (5.22) | 16.00 | |
| EFTI | Earthfirst Techs | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CHSTY | China High Speed | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.81 | |
| ALXXF | Avante Logixx | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 48.89 | |
| APGI | American Pwr Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 16.67 | (14.29) | 37.50 | |
| AWAW | White Fox Ventures | 0.00 | 0 per month | 13.49 | 0.11 | 66.67 | (40.00) | 233.33 |
CECO Environmental Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CECO price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CECO using various technical indicators. When you analyze CECO charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About CECO Environmental Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of CECO Environmental stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CECO Environmental Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CECO Environmental based on analysis of CECO Environmental hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CECO Environmental's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CECO Environmental's related companies. | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0167 | 0.0281 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.18 | 2.07 |
Pair Trading with CECO Environmental
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if CECO Environmental position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in CECO Environmental will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with CECO Stock
Moving against CECO Stock
| 0.72 | XPON | Expion360 | PairCorr |
| 0.62 | WATR | Current Water Techno | PairCorr |
| 0.56 | CXT | Crane NXT Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to CECO Environmental could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace CECO Environmental when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back CECO Environmental - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling CECO Environmental Corp to buy it.
The correlation of CECO Environmental is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as CECO Environmental moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if CECO Environmental Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for CECO Environmental can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out CECO Environmental Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Will Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components sector continue expanding? Could CECO diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CECO Environmental. Projected growth potential of CECO fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every CECO Environmental data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.33) | Earnings Share 1.43 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.458 | Return On Assets |
Understanding CECO Environmental Corp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects CECO's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what CECO Environmental's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push CECO Environmental's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between CECO Environmental's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding CECO Environmental should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, CECO Environmental's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.