Celsius Holdings Stock Price Prediction

CELH Stock  USD 29.75  0.44  1.50%   
As of 25th of November 2024 the relative strength index (rsi) of Celsius Holdings' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Oversold Vs Overbought

34

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Celsius Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Celsius Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Celsius Holdings' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.629
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.17
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.703
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.9696
Wall Street Target Price
41.7947
Using Celsius Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Celsius Holdings from the perspective of Celsius Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Celsius Holdings Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Celsius Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Celsius. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Celsius can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Celsius Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Celsius Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Celsius Holdings.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Celsius Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Celsius because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Celsius Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 28.63  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Celsius Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Celsius Stock please use our How to Invest in Celsius Holdings guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.3874.7078.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.8130.6734.52
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
192.01211.00234.21
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.150.180.21
Details

Celsius Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Celsius Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Celsius Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Celsius Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Celsius Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Celsius Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Celsius Holdings' historical news coverage. Celsius Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.77 and 32.49, respectively. We have considered Celsius Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
29.75
28.63
After-hype Price
32.49
Upside
Celsius Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Celsius Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Celsius Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Celsius Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Celsius Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Celsius Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.38 
3.87
  0.65 
  0.70 
8 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
29.75
28.63
2.32 
227.65  
Notes

Celsius Holdings Hype Timeline

Celsius Holdings is currently traded for 29.75. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.65, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.7. Celsius is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 28.63. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -2.32%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.38%. The volatility of related hype on Celsius Holdings is about 208.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.05. About 36.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.41. Celsius Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 3:1 split on the 15th of November 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Celsius Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Celsius Stock please use our How to Invest in Celsius Holdings guide.

Celsius Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Celsius Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Celsius Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Celsius Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Celsius Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
COCOVita Coco 0.12 13 per month 1.48  0.20  3.72 (3.13) 11.39 
KDPKeurig Dr Pepper(0.21)11 per month 0.00 (0.21) 1.46 (2.08) 6.67 
PEPPepsiCo(1.08)8 per month 0.00 (0.25) 1.24 (1.38) 6.65 
KOFCoca Cola Femsa SAB(1.43)9 per month 0.00 (0.19) 2.21 (2.27) 5.30 
FIZZNational Beverage Corp(0.54)7 per month 1.06 (0.03) 2.13 (1.89) 6.35 
MNSTMonster Beverage Corp 0.37 10 per month 1.47  0.07  2.51 (1.35) 11.37 
KOThe Coca Cola 0.01 8 per month 0.00 (0.27) 1.18 (1.66) 4.07 
COKECoca Cola Consolidated(12.06)7 per month 0.00 (0.14) 2.03 (1.71) 10.22 

Celsius Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Celsius price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Celsius using various technical indicators. When you analyze Celsius charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Celsius Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Celsius Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Celsius Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Celsius Holdings based on analysis of Celsius Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Celsius Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Celsius Holdings's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0021830.001156
Price To Sales Ratio9.5514.3

Story Coverage note for Celsius Holdings

The number of cover stories for Celsius Holdings depends on current market conditions and Celsius Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Celsius Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Celsius Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Celsius Holdings Short Properties

Celsius Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Celsius Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Celsius Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Celsius Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Celsius Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding237 M
Cash And Short Term Investments756 M

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When running Celsius Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Celsius Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Celsius Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Celsius Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Celsius Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Celsius Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Celsius Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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