Centamin PLC (UK) Price Prediction
| CEY Stock | 146.00 2.00 1.39% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
38
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.08) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.31 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.3 | Wall Street Target Price 1.32 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.07 |
Using Centamin PLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Centamin PLC from the perspective of Centamin PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Centamin PLC to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Centamin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Centamin PLC after-hype prediction price | GBX 145.13 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Centamin |
Centamin PLC After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Centamin PLC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Centamin PLC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Centamin PLC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Centamin PLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Centamin PLC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Centamin PLC's historical news coverage. Centamin PLC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 141.60 and 148.66, respectively. We have considered Centamin PLC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Centamin PLC is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Centamin PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Centamin PLC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Centamin PLC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Centamin PLC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Centamin PLC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.29 | 3.53 | 0.87 | 0.53 | 2 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
146.00 | 145.13 | 0.60 |
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Centamin PLC Hype Timeline
Centamin PLC is currently traded for 146.00on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.87, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.53. Centamin is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 145.13. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 117.67%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.6%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.29%. The volatility of related hype on Centamin PLC is about 192.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 145.47. About 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.52. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Centamin PLC last dividend was issued on the 29th of August 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Centamin PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Centamin PLC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Centamin PLC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Centamin PLC's future price movements. Getting to know how Centamin PLC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Centamin PLC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ATYM | Atalaya Mining | (3.00) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.97 | (5.03) | 11.16 | |
| AAZ | Anglo Asian Mining | (2.50) | 2 per month | 2.32 | 0.04 | 5.31 | (4.66) | 16.37 | |
| MTL | Metals Exploration Plc | (0.01) | 1 per month | 2.46 | 0.01 | 5.61 | (4.50) | 16.60 |
Centamin PLC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Centamin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Centamin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Centamin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Centamin PLC Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Centamin PLC stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Centamin PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Centamin PLC based on analysis of Centamin PLC hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Centamin PLC's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Centamin PLC's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Centamin PLC
The number of cover stories for Centamin PLC depends on current market conditions and Centamin PLC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Centamin PLC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Centamin PLC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Centamin PLC Short Properties
Centamin PLC's future price predictability will typically decrease when Centamin PLC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Centamin PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Centamin PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Centamin PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 93.3 M |
Complementary Tools for Centamin Stock analysis
When running Centamin PLC's price analysis, check to measure Centamin PLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Centamin PLC is operating at the current time. Most of Centamin PLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Centamin PLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Centamin PLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Centamin PLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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