Crown Lng Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| CGBSW Stock | 0.02 0.01 33.52% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
53
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Crown LNG hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Crown LNG Holdings from the perspective of Crown LNG response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Crown LNG to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Crown because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Crown LNG after-hype prediction price | USD 0.0259 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Crown |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Crown LNG's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Crown LNG After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Crown LNG at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Crown LNG or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Crown LNG, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Crown LNG Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Crown LNG's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Crown LNG's historical news coverage. Crown LNG's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 24.03, respectively. We have considered Crown LNG's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Crown LNG is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Crown LNG Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Crown LNG Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Crown LNG is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Crown LNG backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Crown LNG, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
2.30 | 24.24 | 0.02 | 2.05 | 2 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.02 | 0.03 | 25.91 |
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Crown LNG Hype Timeline
Crown LNG Holdings is currently traded for 0.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -2.05. Crown is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.0259. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -25.91%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 2.3%. The volatility of related hype on Crown LNG is about 2723.6%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -2.03. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Crown LNG Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Crown LNG Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Crown LNG's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Crown LNG's future price movements. Getting to know how Crown LNG's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Crown LNG may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| E | Eni SpA ADR | (0.32) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 1.51 | (2.34) | 4.90 | |
| BP | BP PLC ADR | (0.22) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 1.68 | (3.34) | 7.70 | |
| EC | Ecopetrol SA ADR | (0.31) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 2.46 | (3.86) | 8.46 | |
| SU | Suncor Energy | (0.19) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.17 | (2.75) | 8.68 | |
| VIVK | Vivakor | 0.05 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 6.33 | (7.25) | 23.87 | |
| EQNR | Equinor ASA ADR | 0.07 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.30 | (4.50) | 8.46 | |
| CVE | Cenovus Energy | (0.51) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 2.57 | (3.60) | 7.99 | |
| CVX | Chevron Corp | (0.39) | 6 per month | 1.03 | 0.04 | 2.21 | (1.79) | 5.13 | |
| IMO | Imperial Oil | (5.19) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.68 | (2.70) | 9.51 | |
| NFG | National Fuel Gas | (1.89) | 7 per month | 1.22 | 0.01 | 2.82 | (1.75) | 8.65 |
Crown LNG Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Crown price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Crown using various technical indicators. When you analyze Crown charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Crown LNG Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Crown LNG stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Crown LNG Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Crown LNG based on analysis of Crown LNG hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Crown LNG's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Crown LNG's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Crown LNG
The number of cover stories for Crown LNG depends on current market conditions and Crown LNG's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Crown LNG is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Crown LNG's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Crown LNG Short Properties
Crown LNG's future price predictability will typically decrease when Crown LNG's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Crown LNG Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Crown LNG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crown LNG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 68.7 M | |
| Short Term Investments | 4.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.3 M |
Additional Tools for Crown Stock Analysis
When running Crown LNG's price analysis, check to measure Crown LNG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Crown LNG is operating at the current time. Most of Crown LNG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Crown LNG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Crown LNG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Crown LNG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.