Church Dwight Stock Price Patterns

CHD Stock  USD 91.96  0.48  0.52%   
The value of RSI of Church Dwight's stock price is about 67 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Church, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 67

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Church Dwight's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Church Dwight and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Church Dwight's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Church Dwight, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Church Dwight hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Church Dwight from the perspective of Church Dwight response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Church Dwight to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Church because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Church Dwight after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 91.96  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Church Dwight Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Church Stock refer to our How to Trade Church Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
83.4084.60101.16
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Church Dwight. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Church Dwight's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Church Dwight's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Church Dwight.

Church Dwight After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Church Dwight at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Church Dwight or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Church Dwight, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Church Dwight Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Church Dwight's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Church Dwight's historical news coverage. Church Dwight's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 90.76 and 93.16, respectively. We have considered Church Dwight's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
91.96
91.96
After-hype Price
93.16
Upside
Church Dwight is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Church Dwight is based on 3 months time horizon.

Church Dwight Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Church Dwight is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Church Dwight backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Church Dwight, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
1.20
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
91.96
91.96
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Church Dwight Hype Timeline

On the 29th of January Church Dwight is traded for 91.96. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Church is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Church Dwight is about 3000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 91.96. About 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.13. Church Dwight last dividend was issued on the 14th of November 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 2nd of September 2016. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Church Dwight Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Church Stock refer to our How to Trade Church Stock guide.

Church Dwight Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Church Dwight's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Church Dwight's future price movements. Getting to know how Church Dwight's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Church Dwight may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DLTRDollar Tree 0.00 0 per month 1.89  0.10  4.05 (2.85) 10.30 
DGDollar General 0.00 0 per month 1.52  0.21  4.59 (2.38) 20.14 
STZConstellation Brands Class 0.00 0 per month 1.10  0.14  3.59 (2.08) 7.49 
SGISomnigroup International(0.39)3 per month 1.36  0.08  2.56 (2.33) 15.47 
TSNTyson Foods(0.29)11 per month 1.10  0.20  3.17 (2.03) 8.77 
CLXThe Clorox 1.28 9 per month 0.00 (0.08) 1.86 (2.81) 7.64 
BGBunge Limited(0.39)3 per month 0.80  0.18  3.20 (1.84) 6.25 
FMXFomento Economico Mexicano(0.39)6 per month 0.99  0.12  2.37 (1.88) 7.81 
KOFCoca Cola Femsa SAB 0.00 0 per month 0.95  0.20  2.76 (1.79) 5.77 
KVUEKenvue Inc(0.22)10 per month 1.01  0.09  2.27 (2.09) 15.22 

Church Dwight Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Church price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Church using various technical indicators. When you analyze Church charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Church Dwight Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Church Dwight stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Church Dwight, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Church Dwight based on analysis of Church Dwight hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Church Dwight's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Church Dwight's related companies.

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Complementary Tools for Church Stock analysis

When running Church Dwight's price analysis, check to measure Church Dwight's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Church Dwight is operating at the current time. Most of Church Dwight's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Church Dwight's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Church Dwight's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Church Dwight to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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