Cheer Holding Stock Price Prediction
| CHR Stock | 2.56 0.04 1.54% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
42
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.059 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.054 |
Using Cheer Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cheer Holding from the perspective of Cheer Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cheer Holding to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cheer because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Cheer Holding after-hype prediction price | USD 2.56 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Cheer |
Cheer Holding After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cheer Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cheer Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cheer Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cheer Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cheer Holding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cheer Holding's historical news coverage. Cheer Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.13 and 5.36, respectively. We have considered Cheer Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cheer Holding is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cheer Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cheer Holding Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cheer Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cheer Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cheer Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 2.80 | 0.01 | 0.16 | 8 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.56 | 2.56 | 0.00 |
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Cheer Holding Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November Cheer Holding is traded for 2.56. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.16. Cheer is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cheer Holding is about 120.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.40. About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.09. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Cheer Holding had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:10 split on the 27th of November 2023. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Cheer Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Cheer Holding Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cheer Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cheer Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how Cheer Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cheer Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CPA | Copa Holdings SA | (0.61) | 11 per month | 2.62 | (0) | 3.72 | (2.73) | 8.79 | |
| ATSG | Air Transport Services | (0.01) | 10 per month | 1.89 | 0.12 | 3.95 | (3.09) | 26.66 | |
| SAIA | Saia Inc | (13.21) | 10 per month | 2.12 | 0.13 | 5.11 | (4.04) | 17.45 | |
| SKYW | SkyWest | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.81 | 0.26 | 3.80 | (1.66) | 9.51 | |
| COE | 51Talk Online Education | (0.1) | 8 per month | 3.11 | 0.05 | 5.43 | (4.95) | 27.73 | |
| BEDU | Bright Scholar Education | (0.03) | 1 per month | 3.20 | 0.0006 | 5.56 | (5.85) | 18.70 |
Cheer Holding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cheer price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cheer using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cheer charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Cheer Holding Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Cheer Holding stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cheer Holding, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cheer Holding based on analysis of Cheer Holding hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cheer Holding's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cheer Holding's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 150.6 | 227.8 | 194.5 | 241.0 | PTB Ratio | 0.49 | 0.58 | 0.0947 | 0.09 |
Story Coverage note for Cheer Holding
The number of cover stories for Cheer Holding depends on current market conditions and Cheer Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cheer Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cheer Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cheer Holding Short Properties
Cheer Holding's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cheer Holding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cheer Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cheer Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cheer Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 194.5 M |
Additional Tools for Cheer Stock Analysis
When running Cheer Holding's price analysis, check to measure Cheer Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cheer Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Cheer Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cheer Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cheer Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cheer Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.