Chipotle Mexican Grill Stock Price Patterns
| CMG Stock | USD 39.39 0.94 2.44% |
Momentum 67
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.04 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2759 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.1489 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.3742 | Wall Street Target Price 44.2353 |
Using Chipotle Mexican hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Chipotle Mexican Grill from the perspective of Chipotle Mexican response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Chipotle Mexican using Chipotle Mexican's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Chipotle using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Chipotle Mexican's stock price.
Chipotle Mexican Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Chipotle Mexican's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Chipotle. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Chipotle Mexican stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 43.0605 | Short Percent 0.0256 | Short Ratio 1.93 | Shares Short Prior Month 32.7 M | 50 Day MA 37.3834 |
Chipotle Mexican Grill Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Chipotle Mexican's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Chipotle. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Chipotle can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Chipotle Mexican Grill. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Chipotle Mexican's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Chipotle Mexican.
Chipotle Mexican Implied Volatility | 0.34 |
Chipotle Mexican's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Chipotle Mexican Grill stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Chipotle Mexican's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Chipotle Mexican stock will not fluctuate a lot when Chipotle Mexican's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Chipotle Mexican to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Chipotle because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Chipotle Mexican after-hype prediction price | USD 39.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Chipotle contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Chipotle Mexican Grill will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0213% per day over the life of the 2026-03-27 option contract. With Chipotle Mexican trading at USD 39.39, that is roughly USD 0.00837 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Chipotle Mexican's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Chipotle Mexican Grill options at the current volatility level of 0.34%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Chipotle Mexican Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Chipotle Mexican After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Chipotle Mexican at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Chipotle Mexican or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Chipotle Mexican, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Chipotle Mexican Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Chipotle Mexican's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Chipotle Mexican's historical news coverage. Chipotle Mexican's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 37.42 and 41.36, respectively. We have considered Chipotle Mexican's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Chipotle Mexican is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chipotle Mexican Grill is based on 3 months time horizon.
Chipotle Mexican Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Chipotle Mexican is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chipotle Mexican backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Chipotle Mexican, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.44 | 2.04 | 0.02 | 0.22 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
39.39 | 39.39 | 0.00 |
|
Chipotle Mexican Hype Timeline
On the 7th of February Chipotle Mexican Grill is traded for 39.39. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.22. Chipotle is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.44%. %. The volatility of related hype on Chipotle Mexican is about 408.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.17. About 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.0. Chipotle Mexican Grill had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 50:1 split on the 26th of June 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Chipotle Mexican Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Chipotle Mexican Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Chipotle Mexican's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Chipotle Mexican's future price movements. Getting to know how Chipotle Mexican's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Chipotle Mexican may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| YUM | Yum Brands | 0.76 | 8 per month | 0.98 | 0.11 | 2.49 | (1.68) | 11.71 | |
| LVS | Las Vegas Sands | (2.79) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.98 | (2.74) | 17.97 | |
| CPRT | Copart Inc | 0.26 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.22 | (2.82) | 6.69 | |
| DHI | DR Horton | (5.29) | 11 per month | 1.59 | 0.03 | 4.74 | (3.27) | 11.16 | |
| TCOM | Trip Group Ltd | 0.15 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.57 | (3.64) | 21.80 | |
| EBAY | eBay Inc | 8.54 | 10 per month | 1.89 | 0.0002 | 2.81 | (3.25) | 11.00 | |
| CCL | Carnival | (0.03) | 8 per month | 2.51 | 0.07 | 8.08 | (3.63) | 13.44 | |
| JD | JD Inc Adr | (0.30) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 2.75 | (2.03) | 7.11 | |
| FLUT | Flutter Entertainment plc | (5.76) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 3.01 | (4.13) | 17.33 | |
| QSR | Restaurant Brands International | (0.53) | 10 per month | 0.90 | 0.04 | 2.23 | (1.73) | 6.22 |
Chipotle Mexican Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Chipotle price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chipotle using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chipotle charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Chipotle Mexican Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Chipotle Mexican stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Chipotle Mexican Grill, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Chipotle Mexican based on analysis of Chipotle Mexican hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Chipotle Mexican's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Chipotle Mexican's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 6.23 | 6.81 | 7.59 | 4.36 | PTB Ratio | 20.58 | 22.57 | 17.48 | 18.35 |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
| FSLY | Fastly Class A | |
| MOB | Mobilicom Limited American | |
| CMG | Chipotle Mexican Grill | |
| CSAN | Cosan SA ADR | |
| RKT | Rocket Companies |
Complementary Tools for Chipotle Stock analysis
When running Chipotle Mexican's price analysis, check to measure Chipotle Mexican's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chipotle Mexican is operating at the current time. Most of Chipotle Mexican's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chipotle Mexican's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chipotle Mexican's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chipotle Mexican to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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