Canadian National Railway Stock Price Prediction
| CNR Stock | CAD 156.29 0.85 0.55% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
51
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.018 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.31 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.3624 | EPS Estimate Next Year 8.2882 | Wall Street Target Price 173 |
Using Canadian National hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Canadian National Railway from the perspective of Canadian National response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Canadian National to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Canadian because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Canadian National after-hype prediction price | CAD 155.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Canadian |
Canadian National After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Canadian National at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Canadian National or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Canadian National, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Canadian National Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Canadian National's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Canadian National's historical news coverage. Canadian National's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 154.32 and 156.48, respectively. We have considered Canadian National's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Canadian National is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Canadian National Railway is based on 3 months time horizon.
Canadian National Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Canadian National is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Canadian National backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Canadian National, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.08 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
156.29 | 155.40 | 0.03 |
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Canadian National Hype Timeline
Canadian National Railway is currently traded for 156.29on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Canadian is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 155.4. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.02%. The volatility of related hype on Canadian National is about 198.53%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 156.28. About 75.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.46. Canadian National Railway last dividend was issued on the 9th of December 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 2nd of December 2013. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Canadian National Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Canadian National Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Canadian National's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Canadian National's future price movements. Getting to know how Canadian National's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Canadian National may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CP | Canadian Pacific Railway | (1.80) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.03 | (1.45) | 4.41 | |
| FTS | Fortis Inc | (0.18) | 5 per month | 0.59 | (0.02) | 1.13 | (1.19) | 3.91 | |
| BCE | BCE Inc | (0.50) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 1.41 | (1.77) | 13.03 | |
| T | Telus Corp | 0.28 | 2 per month | 0.81 | (0.12) | 2.01 | (1.30) | 5.91 | |
| ENB | Enbridge | (0.52) | 4 per month | 0.25 | 0.13 | 1.62 | (0.91) | 3.26 |
Canadian National Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Canadian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Canadian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Canadian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Canadian National Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Canadian National stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Canadian National Railway, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Canadian National based on analysis of Canadian National hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Canadian National's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Canadian National's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0158 | 0.0182 | 0.0189 | 0.0122 | Price To Sales Ratio | 7.6 | 6.45 | 6.51 | 6.83 |
Story Coverage note for Canadian National
The number of cover stories for Canadian National depends on current market conditions and Canadian National's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Canadian National is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Canadian National's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Canadian National Short Properties
Canadian National's future price predictability will typically decrease when Canadian National's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Canadian National Railway often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Canadian National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Canadian National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 659.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 475 M |
Check out Canadian National Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.