Centessa Pharmaceuticals Plc Stock Price Prediction
| CNTA Stock | USD 16.96 0.37 2.23% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
42
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.44) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.43) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.55) | Wall Street Target Price 28.5714 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.42) |
Using Centessa Pharmaceuticals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Centessa Pharmaceuticals PLC from the perspective of Centessa Pharmaceuticals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Centessa Pharmaceuticals using Centessa Pharmaceuticals' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Centessa using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Centessa Pharmaceuticals' stock price.
Centessa Pharmaceuticals Implied Volatility | 1.39 |
Centessa Pharmaceuticals' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Centessa Pharmaceuticals PLC stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Centessa Pharmaceuticals' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Centessa Pharmaceuticals stock will not fluctuate a lot when Centessa Pharmaceuticals' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Centessa Pharmaceuticals to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Centessa because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Centessa Pharmaceuticals after-hype prediction price | USD 17.09 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Centessa contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Centessa Pharmaceuticals PLC will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0869% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Centessa Pharmaceuticals trading at USD 16.96, that is roughly USD 0.0147 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Centessa Pharmaceuticals' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Centessa Pharmaceuticals PLC options at the current volatility level of 1.39%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Centessa |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Centessa Pharmaceuticals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Centessa Pharmaceuticals After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Centessa Pharmaceuticals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Centessa Pharmaceuticals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Centessa Pharmaceuticals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Centessa Pharmaceuticals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Centessa Pharmaceuticals' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Centessa Pharmaceuticals' historical news coverage. Centessa Pharmaceuticals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.40 and 20.78, respectively. We have considered Centessa Pharmaceuticals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Centessa Pharmaceuticals is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Centessa Pharmaceuticals is based on 3 months time horizon.
Centessa Pharmaceuticals Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Centessa Pharmaceuticals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Centessa Pharmaceuticals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Centessa Pharmaceuticals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 3.69 | 0.13 | 0.08 | 10 Events / Month | 15 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
16.96 | 17.09 | 0.77 |
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Centessa Pharmaceuticals Hype Timeline
Centessa Pharmaceuticals is currently traded for 16.96. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Centessa is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 17.09 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.77%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Centessa Pharmaceuticals is about 836.83%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.88. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 6.85 M. Net Loss for the year was (151.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.85 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Centessa Pharmaceuticals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Centessa Pharmaceuticals Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Centessa Pharmaceuticals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Centessa Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. Getting to know how Centessa Pharmaceuticals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Centessa Pharmaceuticals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Centessa Pharmaceuticals Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Centessa price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Centessa using various technical indicators. When you analyze Centessa charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Centessa Pharmaceuticals Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Centessa Pharmaceuticals stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Centessa Pharmaceuticals PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Centessa Pharmaceuticals based on analysis of Centessa Pharmaceuticals hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Centessa Pharmaceuticals's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Centessa Pharmaceuticals's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Current Ratio | 10.27 | 8.0 | 7.2 | 8.74 | Net Debt To EBITDA | 1.53 | 0.26 | 0.24 | 0.22 |
Story Coverage note for Centessa Pharmaceuticals
The number of cover stories for Centessa Pharmaceuticals depends on current market conditions and Centessa Pharmaceuticals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Centessa Pharmaceuticals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Centessa Pharmaceuticals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Centessa Pharmaceuticals Short Properties
Centessa Pharmaceuticals' future price predictability will typically decrease when Centessa Pharmaceuticals' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Centessa Pharmaceuticals PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Centessa Pharmaceuticals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Centessa Pharmaceuticals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 96.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 256.5 M |
Complementary Tools for Centessa Stock analysis
When running Centessa Pharmaceuticals' price analysis, check to measure Centessa Pharmaceuticals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Centessa Pharmaceuticals is operating at the current time. Most of Centessa Pharmaceuticals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Centessa Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Centessa Pharmaceuticals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Centessa Pharmaceuticals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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