Crescent Energy Co Stock Price Prediction

CRGY Stock  USD 14.85  0.43  2.81%   
The value of relative strength index of Crescent Energy's share price is above 70 at this time suggesting that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Crescent, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

70

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Crescent Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Crescent Energy Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Crescent Energy's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.142
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.35
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.6685
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.8541
Wall Street Target Price
16.2727
Using Crescent Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Crescent Energy Co from the perspective of Crescent Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Crescent Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Crescent because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Crescent Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 14.84  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Crescent Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.0416.7319.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.5715.2617.95
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
15.6217.1719.06
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.330.420.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Crescent Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Crescent Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Crescent Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Crescent Energy.

Crescent Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Crescent Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Crescent Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Crescent Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Crescent Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Crescent Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Crescent Energy's historical news coverage. Crescent Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.15 and 17.53, respectively. We have considered Crescent Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
14.85
14.84
After-hype Price
17.53
Upside
Crescent Energy is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Crescent Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.

Crescent Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Crescent Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Crescent Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Crescent Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.45 
2.71
  0.01 
  0.04 
8 Events / Month
13 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
14.85
14.84
0.07 
9,033  
Notes

Crescent Energy Hype Timeline

Crescent Energy is currently traded for 14.85. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Crescent is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 14.84. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.45%. The volatility of related hype on Crescent Energy is about 3361.24%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.81. About 87.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.87. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Crescent Energy last dividend was issued on the 18th of November 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Crescent Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Crescent Energy Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Crescent Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Crescent Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Crescent Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Crescent Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SBOWSilverBow Resources 0.43 9 per month 1.86  0.04  3.59 (2.41) 15.61 
VTLEVital Energy 0.91 8 per month 0.00 (0.05) 5.41 (6.77) 17.63 
PRPermian Resources 0.16 7 per month 1.94  0.05  2.90 (3.33) 7.95 
MGYMagnolia Oil Gas(0.66)9 per month 1.98  0.06  2.89 (3.67) 8.54 
REIRing Energy 0.04 11 per month 0.00 (0.08) 4.43 (5.33) 18.99 
ESTEEarthstone Energy(0.61)49 per month 2.66  0.01  4.37 (4.80) 10.76 
CRKComstock Resources(0.03)11 per month 2.50  0.13  6.81 (4.09) 14.25 
OBEObsidian Energy 0.12 5 per month 0.00 (0.10) 3.76 (4.26) 13.07 
GPRKGeoPark 0.18 10 per month 2.41 (0.03) 4.46 (3.49) 11.99 
PNRGPrimeEnergy(0.76)9 per month 1.97  0.20  5.88 (4.38) 12.61 
EPSNEpsilon Energy 0.16 8 per month 2.18  0.03  4.46 (3.74) 11.32 
PHXPHX Minerals(0.14)10 per month 1.38  0.05  2.19 (1.75) 13.02 
EPMEvolution Petroleum 0.02 9 per month 1.60  0.08  3.99 (2.93) 20.30 
CNXCNX Resources Corp 0.83 13 per month 1.34  0.25  4.48 (3.08) 9.84 
GPORGulfport Energy Operating(2.23)7 per month 1.01  0.11  4.38 (1.96) 11.52 
DENDenbury Resources 0.29 1 per month 0.00 (0.14) 2.47 (3.21) 9.48 

Crescent Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Crescent price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Crescent using various technical indicators. When you analyze Crescent charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Crescent Energy Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Crescent Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Crescent Energy Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Crescent Energy based on analysis of Crescent Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Crescent Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Crescent Energy's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01640.01360.03880.0368
Price To Sales Ratio1.460.660.370.35

Story Coverage note for Crescent Energy

The number of cover stories for Crescent Energy depends on current market conditions and Crescent Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Crescent Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Crescent Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Crescent Energy Short Properties

Crescent Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Crescent Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Crescent Energy Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Crescent Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crescent Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding67.4 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsM

Additional Tools for Crescent Stock Analysis

When running Crescent Energy's price analysis, check to measure Crescent Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Crescent Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Crescent Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Crescent Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Crescent Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Crescent Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.