Americas Car Mart Stock Price Prediction
| CRMT Stock | USD 47.40 2.53 5.64% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
54
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.80) | EPS Estimate Current Year (4.31) | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.31 | Wall Street Target Price 46.75 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.66 |
Using Americas Car hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Americas Car Mart from the perspective of Americas Car response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Americas Car to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Americas because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Americas Car after-hype prediction price | USD 47.28 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Americas |
Americas Car After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Americas Car at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Americas Car or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Americas Car, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Americas Car Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Americas Car's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Americas Car's historical news coverage. Americas Car's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 43.65 and 50.91, respectively. We have considered Americas Car's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Americas Car is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Americas Car Mart is based on 3 months time horizon.
Americas Car Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Americas Car is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Americas Car backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Americas Car, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 3.72 | 0.09 | 0.81 | 9 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
47.40 | 47.28 | 0.25 |
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Americas Car Hype Timeline
Americas Car Mart is currently traded for 47.40. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.81. Americas is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 47.28. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.25%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.33%. The volatility of related hype on Americas Car is about 150.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 48.21. About 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.78. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Americas Car Mart has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.58. The entity recorded a loss per share of 5.72. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Americas Car had 3:2 split on the 15th of April 2005. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Americas Car Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Americas Car Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Americas Car's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Americas Car's future price movements. Getting to know how Americas Car's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Americas Car may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SAH | Sonic Automotive | 0.1 | 8 per month | 1.80 | 0.03 | 4.62 | (3.31) | 13.17 | |
| LAD | Lithia Motors | 7.99 | 11 per month | 1.54 | 0.16 | 4.90 | (3.18) | 13.35 | |
| AN | AutoNation | 2.36 | 9 per month | 1.96 | (0.06) | 3.73 | (3.00) | 8.95 | |
| ABG | Asbury Automotive Group | 2.13 | 10 per month | 1.68 | 0.04 | 4.06 | (2.67) | 9.76 | |
| PAG | Penske Automotive Group | 1.17 | 7 per month | 1.45 | (0.08) | 2.50 | (2.44) | 6.98 | |
| GPI | Group 1 Automotive | 1.04 | 10 per month | 1.50 | 0.07 | 3.60 | (2.70) | 11.29 |
Americas Car Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Americas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Americas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Americas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Americas Car Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Americas Car stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Americas Car Mart, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Americas Car based on analysis of Americas Car hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Americas Car's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Americas Car's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 7.6E-5 | 1.09E-4 | 1.14E-4 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.43 | 0.26 | 0.25 |
Story Coverage note for Americas Car
The number of cover stories for Americas Car depends on current market conditions and Americas Car's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Americas Car is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Americas Car's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Americas Car Short Properties
Americas Car's future price predictability will typically decrease when Americas Car's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Americas Car Mart often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Americas Car's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Americas Car's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.5 M |
Additional Tools for Americas Stock Analysis
When running Americas Car's price analysis, check to measure Americas Car's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Americas Car is operating at the current time. Most of Americas Car's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Americas Car's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Americas Car's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Americas Car to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.