Carriage Services Stock Price Prediction
| CSV Stock | USD 40.65 1.44 3.67% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
77
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.1 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.57 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.53 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.8033 | Wall Street Target Price 47.75 |
Using Carriage Services hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Carriage Services from the perspective of Carriage Services response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Carriage Services to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Carriage because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Carriage Services after-hype prediction price | USD 40.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Carriage |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Carriage Services' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Carriage Services After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Carriage Services at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Carriage Services or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Carriage Services, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Carriage Services Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Carriage Services' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Carriage Services' historical news coverage. Carriage Services' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 38.41 and 42.95, respectively. We have considered Carriage Services' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Carriage Services is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Carriage Services is based on 3 months time horizon.
Carriage Services Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Carriage Services is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Carriage Services backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Carriage Services, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 2.27 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 11 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
40.65 | 40.68 | 0.07 |
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Carriage Services Hype Timeline
On the 26th of November Carriage Services is traded for 40.65. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.22, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Carriage is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 40.68 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.37%. The volatility of related hype on Carriage Services is about 22700.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 40.65. The company reported the last year's revenue of 382.52 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 33.11 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 132.54 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Carriage Services Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Carriage Services Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Carriage Services' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Carriage Services' future price movements. Getting to know how Carriage Services' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Carriage Services may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BFAM | Bright Horizons Family | (1.29) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.83 | (2.27) | 14.64 | |
| EM | Smart Share Global | 0.00 | 4 per month | 3.25 | (0.01) | 7.04 | (5.66) | 36.17 | |
| MCW | Mister Car Wash | 0.12 | 9 per month | 1.43 | 0.07 | 4.63 | (3.20) | 16.56 | |
| ROL | Rollins | 0.15 | 8 per month | 1.80 | (0.06) | 1.53 | (2.26) | 9.52 | |
| SCI | Service International | 0.97 | 8 per month | 0.74 | 0.07 | 1.89 | (1.37) | 8.36 |
Carriage Services Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Carriage price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Carriage using various technical indicators. When you analyze Carriage charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Carriage Services Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Carriage Services stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Carriage Services, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Carriage Services based on analysis of Carriage Services hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Carriage Services's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Carriage Services's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.006475 | 0.0165 | 0.0181 | 0.019 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.98 | 1.11 | 0.97 | 1.42 |
Story Coverage note for Carriage Services
The number of cover stories for Carriage Services depends on current market conditions and Carriage Services' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Carriage Services is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Carriage Services' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Carriage Services Short Properties
Carriage Services' future price predictability will typically decrease when Carriage Services' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Carriage Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Carriage Services' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Carriage Services' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 M |
Additional Tools for Carriage Stock Analysis
When running Carriage Services' price analysis, check to measure Carriage Services' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Carriage Services is operating at the current time. Most of Carriage Services' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Carriage Services' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Carriage Services' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Carriage Services to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.