Citadel Income Fund Price Prediction
| CTF-UN Fund | CAD 2.60 0.08 3.17% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using Citadel Income hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Citadel Income from the perspective of Citadel Income response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Citadel Income to buy its fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Citadel because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Citadel Income after-hype prediction price | CAD 2.59 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Citadel Income's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Citadel Income After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Citadel Income at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Citadel Income or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Fund prices, such as prices of Citadel Income, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Citadel Income Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Citadel Income's fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Citadel Income's historical news coverage. Citadel Income's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.84 and 4.34, respectively. We have considered Citadel Income's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Citadel Income is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Citadel Income is based on 3 months time horizon.
Citadel Income Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Fund such as Citadel Income is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Citadel Income backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Citadel Income, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 1.75 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.60 | 2.59 | 0.38 |
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Citadel Income Hype Timeline
Citadel Income is currently traded for 2.60on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Citadel is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.59. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.38%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Citadel Income is about 29166.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.60. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.8. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Citadel Income recorded a loss per share of 0.45. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Citadel Income Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Citadel Income Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Citadel Income's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Citadel Income's future price movements. Getting to know how Citadel Income's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Citadel Income may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TLF | Tech Leaders Income | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.10 | (0.04) | 1.80 | (2.37) | 5.83 | |
| HIX | BetaPro SPTSX 60 | (0.03) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.46) | 0.71 | (1.05) | 3.15 | |
| BDIV | Brompton Global Dividend | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.71 | (0.03) | 1.00 | (1.22) | 4.63 | |
| HAD | Global X Active | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.43) | 0.45 | (0.66) | 1.55 | |
| HBD | BetaPro Gold Bullion | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.53 | (3.08) | 9.37 |
Citadel Income Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Citadel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Citadel using various technical indicators. When you analyze Citadel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Citadel Income Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Citadel Income stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Citadel Income, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Citadel Income based on analysis of Citadel Income hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Citadel Income's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Citadel Income's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Citadel Income
The number of cover stories for Citadel Income depends on current market conditions and Citadel Income's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Citadel Income is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Citadel Income's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Citadel Income Short Properties
Citadel Income's future price predictability will typically decrease when Citadel Income's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Citadel Income often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Citadel Income's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Citadel Income's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.12 | |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 3.72% |
Other Information on Investing in Citadel Fund
Citadel Income financial ratios help investors to determine whether Citadel Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Citadel with respect to the benefits of owning Citadel Income security.
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