China Shenhua Energy Stock Price Prediction
| CUAEF Stock | USD 5.32 0.02 0.38% |
Momentum 91
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using China Shenhua hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of China Shenhua Energy from the perspective of China Shenhua response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in China Shenhua to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying China because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
China Shenhua after-hype prediction price | USD 5.33 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
China |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of China Shenhua's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
China Shenhua After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of China Shenhua at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in China Shenhua or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of China Shenhua, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
China Shenhua Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting China Shenhua's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on China Shenhua's historical news coverage. China Shenhua's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.26 and 6.40, respectively. We have considered China Shenhua's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
China Shenhua is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of China Shenhua Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
China Shenhua Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as China Shenhua is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading China Shenhua backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with China Shenhua, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 1.06 | 0.18 | 0.01 | 11 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
5.32 | 5.33 | 0.57 |
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China Shenhua Hype Timeline
China Shenhua Energy is currently traded for 5.32. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.18, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. China is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 5.33 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 124.71%. The price rise on the next news is estimated to be 0.57%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on China Shenhua is about 4076.92%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.31. The company reported the revenue of 335.22 B. Net Income was 51.61 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 112.29 B. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out China Shenhua Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.China Shenhua Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to China Shenhua's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict China Shenhua's future price movements. Getting to know how China Shenhua's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how China Shenhua may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SNPMF | China Petroleum Chemical | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.22 | 0.10 | 5.66 | (3.92) | 14.61 | |
| EBBNF | Enbridge | 0.57 | 9 per month | 0.73 | (0.06) | 1.53 | (1.13) | 4.31 | |
| TTFNF | TotalEnergies SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.31 | 0.06 | 2.46 | (1.96) | 8.12 | |
| CCOZF | China Coal Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.20 | |
| CCOZY | China Coal Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.09 | |
| YZCAY | Yanzhou Coal Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.24 | 0.02 | 4.94 | (3.88) | 13.46 | |
| YZCHF | Yanzhou Coal Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.12 | |
| OMVKY | OMV AG PK | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.25 | 0.05 | 2.31 | (1.99) | 5.74 | |
| MOGLF | Mongolian Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.51 | (0) | 7.95 | (9.03) | 20.59 | |
| WHITF | Whitehaven Coal Limited | (0.83) | 2 per month | 1.91 | 0.16 | 5.41 | (3.02) | 13.35 |
China Shenhua Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine China price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for China using various technical indicators. When you analyze China charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About China Shenhua Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of China Shenhua stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as China Shenhua Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of China Shenhua based on analysis of China Shenhua hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to China Shenhua's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to China Shenhua's related companies.
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Complementary Tools for China Pink Sheet analysis
When running China Shenhua's price analysis, check to measure China Shenhua's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Shenhua is operating at the current time. Most of China Shenhua's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Shenhua's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Shenhua's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Shenhua to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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