Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated Stock Price Prediction

DBD Stock  USD 65.35  1.39  2.17%   
The relative strength indicator of Diebold Nixdorf's stock price is about 61 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Diebold, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 61

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Diebold Nixdorf's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Diebold Nixdorf and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Diebold Nixdorf's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Diebold Nixdorf's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.17)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.4167
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.1233
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.0167
Wall Street Target Price
79
Using Diebold Nixdorf hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated from the perspective of Diebold Nixdorf response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Diebold Nixdorf using Diebold Nixdorf's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Diebold using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Diebold Nixdorf's stock price.

Diebold Nixdorf Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Diebold Nixdorf's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Diebold. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Diebold Nixdorf stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
55.7674
Short Percent
0.0437
Short Ratio
3.71
Shares Short Prior Month
761.6 K
50 Day MA
64.068

Diebold Nixdorf Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Diebold Nixdorf's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Diebold. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Diebold can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Diebold Nixdorf's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Diebold Nixdorf.

Diebold Nixdorf Implied Volatility

    
  0.62  
Diebold Nixdorf's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Diebold Nixdorf's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Diebold Nixdorf stock will not fluctuate a lot when Diebold Nixdorf's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Diebold Nixdorf to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Diebold because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Diebold Nixdorf after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 65.31  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Diebold contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0388% per day over the life of the 2026-02-20 option contract. With Diebold Nixdorf trading at USD 65.35, that is roughly USD 0.0253 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Diebold Nixdorf's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated options at the current volatility level of 0.62%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Diebold Nixdorf Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
58.8271.3673.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
60.1962.8165.43
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
71.8979.0087.69
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.891.651.10
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Diebold Nixdorf. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Diebold Nixdorf's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Diebold Nixdorf's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Diebold Nixdorf.

Diebold Nixdorf After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Diebold Nixdorf at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Diebold Nixdorf or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Diebold Nixdorf, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Diebold Nixdorf Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Diebold Nixdorf's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Diebold Nixdorf's historical news coverage. Diebold Nixdorf's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 62.69 and 67.93, respectively. We have considered Diebold Nixdorf's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
65.35
65.31
After-hype Price
67.93
Upside
Diebold Nixdorf is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Diebold Nixdorf is based on 3 months time horizon.

Diebold Nixdorf Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Diebold Nixdorf is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Diebold Nixdorf backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Diebold Nixdorf, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.24 
2.62
  0.04 
  0.01 
19 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 19 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
65.35
65.31
0.06 
1,456  
Notes

Diebold Nixdorf Hype Timeline

On the 6th of January Diebold Nixdorf is traded for 65.35. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Diebold is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 65.31. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on Diebold Nixdorf is about 5574.47%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 65.34. About 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Diebold Nixdorf was currently reported as 30.58. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.52. Diebold Nixdorf last dividend was issued on the 23rd of February 2018. The entity had 3:2 split on the 20th of February 1997. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 19 days.
Check out Diebold Nixdorf Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Diebold Nixdorf Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Diebold Nixdorf's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Diebold Nixdorf's future price movements. Getting to know how Diebold Nixdorf's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Diebold Nixdorf may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ALKTAlkami Technology 0.15 3 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.17 (3.42) 12.38 
NPNeptune Insurance Holdings(0.37)6 per month 3.00  0.04  6.85 (3.98) 23.42 
WBTNWEBTOON Entertainment Common 0.06 17 per month 0.00 (0.14) 4.49 (4.59) 30.26 
EVCMEverCommerce 0.57 9 per month 4.69  0.03  4.95 (5.45) 22.68 
CXMSprinklr(0.08)10 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.60 (2.71) 10.05 
PLUSePlus inc(1.37)12 per month 1.38  0.09  3.32 (2.65) 19.34 
APPNAppian Corp 0.02 12 per month 2.56  0.03  5.01 (4.62) 37.82 
ALRMAlarm Holdings(0.22)8 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.04 (2.15) 9.93 
SPNSSapiens International(0.03)8 per month 0.00  0.12  0.28 (0.14) 32,006 
PRGSProgress Software 0.80 7 per month 0.00 (0.12) 2.47 (3.79) 12.09 

Diebold Nixdorf Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Diebold price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Diebold using various technical indicators. When you analyze Diebold charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Diebold Nixdorf Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Diebold Nixdorf stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Diebold Nixdorf based on analysis of Diebold Nixdorf hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Diebold Nixdorf's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Diebold Nixdorf's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Payables Turnover5.456.157.0710.34
Days Of Inventory On Hand74.6468.0978.384.55

Story Coverage note for Diebold Nixdorf

The number of cover stories for Diebold Nixdorf depends on current market conditions and Diebold Nixdorf's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Diebold Nixdorf is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Diebold Nixdorf's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Diebold Nixdorf Short Properties

Diebold Nixdorf's future price predictability will typically decrease when Diebold Nixdorf's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Diebold Nixdorf's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Diebold Nixdorf's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding37.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments313.1 M

Complementary Tools for Diebold Stock analysis

When running Diebold Nixdorf's price analysis, check to measure Diebold Nixdorf's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Diebold Nixdorf is operating at the current time. Most of Diebold Nixdorf's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Diebold Nixdorf's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Diebold Nixdorf's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Diebold Nixdorf to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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