Diageo Plc Adr Stock Price Patterns
| DEO Stock | USD 99.17 0.88 0.88% |
Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.75) | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.4392 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.5939 | Wall Street Target Price 105.5714 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.004 |
Using Diageo PLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Diageo PLC ADR from the perspective of Diageo PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Diageo PLC using Diageo PLC's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Diageo using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Diageo PLC's stock price.
Diageo PLC Short Interest
An investor who is long Diageo PLC may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Diageo PLC and may potentially protect profits, hedge Diageo PLC with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 99.6789 | Short Percent 0.0045 | Short Ratio 1.3 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.9 M | 50 Day MA 90.3456 |
Diageo PLC ADR Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Diageo PLC's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Diageo. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Diageo can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Diageo PLC ADR. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Diageo PLC's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Diageo PLC.
Diageo PLC Implied Volatility | 0.46 |
Diageo PLC's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Diageo PLC ADR stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Diageo PLC's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Diageo PLC stock will not fluctuate a lot when Diageo PLC's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Diageo PLC to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Diageo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Diageo PLC after-hype prediction price | USD 99.13 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Diageo contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Diageo PLC ADR will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0288% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Diageo PLC trading at USD 99.17, that is roughly USD 0.0285 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Diageo PLC's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Diageo PLC ADR options at the current volatility level of 0.46%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Diageo PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Diageo PLC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Diageo PLC After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Diageo PLC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Diageo PLC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Diageo PLC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Diageo PLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Diageo PLC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Diageo PLC's historical news coverage. Diageo PLC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 97.51 and 100.75, respectively. We have considered Diageo PLC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Diageo PLC is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Diageo PLC ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.
Diageo PLC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Diageo PLC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Diageo PLC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Diageo PLC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 1.62 | 0.04 | 0.11 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
99.17 | 99.13 | 0.04 |
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Diageo PLC Hype Timeline
On the 17th of February 2026 Diageo PLC ADR is traded for 99.17. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. Diageo is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 99.13. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Diageo PLC is about 289.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 99.06. The book value of the company was currently reported as 4.99. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.66. Diageo PLC ADR last dividend was issued on the 17th of October 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 28th of October 1991. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Diageo PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Diageo PLC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Diageo PLC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Diageo PLC's future price movements. Getting to know how Diageo PLC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Diageo PLC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CL | Colgate Palmolive | (0.13) | 7 per month | 0.89 | 0.19 | 1.92 | (1.68) | 6.59 | |
| CCEP | Coca Cola European Partners | 0.63 | 9 per month | 0.78 | 0.08 | 1.95 | (1.26) | 4.84 | |
| KR | Kroger Company | (1.14) | 8 per month | 1.61 | 0.07 | 2.75 | (2.68) | 7.52 | |
| KDP | Keurig Dr Pepper | 0.05 | 11 per month | 0.99 | 0.11 | 2.31 | (1.90) | 5.51 | |
| STZ | Constellation Brands Class | (0.69) | 12 per month | 1.70 | 0.09 | 3.77 | (2.18) | 7.49 | |
| TGT | Target | (2.25) | 7 per month | 1.72 | 0.18 | 3.72 | (2.88) | 8.54 | |
| ABEV | Ambev SA ADR | 0.03 | 6 per month | 0.99 | 0.24 | 3.04 | (2.09) | 7.97 | |
| MNST | Monster Beverage Corp | 0.1 | 9 per month | 0.79 | 0.15 | 2.04 | (1.63) | 6.21 | |
| SYY | Sysco | (1.26) | 9 per month | 0.64 | 0.14 | 2.33 | (1.45) | 12.14 | |
| KMB | Kimberly Clark | (0.94) | 8 per month | 0.87 | 0.04 | 2.15 | (1.39) | 5.43 |
Diageo PLC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Diageo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Diageo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Diageo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Diageo PLC Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Diageo PLC stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Diageo PLC ADR, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Diageo PLC based on analysis of Diageo PLC hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Diageo PLC's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Diageo PLC's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0426 | 0.0566 | 0.0651 | 0.0532 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.73 | 2.01 | 1.81 | 2.82 |
Pair Trading with Diageo PLC
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Diageo PLC position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Diageo PLC will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Diageo Stock
Moving against Diageo Stock
| 0.71 | WVVI | Willamette Valley | PairCorr |
| 0.64 | UM9 | AS Latvijas balzams | PairCorr |
| 0.53 | IBG | Innovation Beverage | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Diageo PLC could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Diageo PLC when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Diageo PLC - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Diageo PLC ADR to buy it.
The correlation of Diageo PLC is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Diageo PLC moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Diageo PLC ADR moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Diageo PLC can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Diageo PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Will Distillers & Vintners sector continue expanding? Could Diageo diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Diageo PLC. Projected growth potential of Diageo fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Diageo PLC data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.75) | Dividend Share 1.035 | Earnings Share 4.22 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.004 |
Investors evaluate Diageo PLC ADR using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Diageo PLC's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Diageo PLC's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Diageo PLC's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Diageo PLC should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Diageo PLC's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.