Trump Media Technology Stock Price Prediction
| DJT Stock | 31.06 0.57 1.87% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
50
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
Using Trump Media hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Trump Media Technology from the perspective of Trump Media response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Trump Media Technology Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Trump Media's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Trump. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Trump can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Trump Media Technology. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Trump Media's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Trump Media.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Trump Media to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Trump because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Trump Media after-hype prediction price | USD 28.51 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Trump Media After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Trump Media at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Trump Media or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Trump Media, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Trump Media Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Trump Media's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Trump Media's historical news coverage. Trump Media's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.10 and 37.92, respectively. We have considered Trump Media's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Trump Media is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Trump Media Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.
Trump Media Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Trump Media is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Trump Media backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Trump Media, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.97 | 9.41 | 1.98 | 0.16 | 8 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
31.06 | 28.51 | 6.49 |
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Trump Media Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November Trump Media Technology is traded for 31.06. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.98, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.16. Trump is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 28.51. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -6.49%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.97%. The volatility of related hype on Trump Media is about 5634.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 30.90. About 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.43. Trump Media Technology had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Trump Media Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Trump Media Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Trump Media's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Trump Media's future price movements. Getting to know how Trump Media's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Trump Media may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| Z | Zillow Group Class | 0.31 | 9 per month | 1.62 | 0.15 | 5.19 | (2.96) | 25.67 | |
| BZ | Kanzhun Ltd ADR | 0.31 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 7.36 | (6.06) | 28.38 | |
| OB | Outbrain | (0.11) | 8 per month | 2.07 | (0.02) | 3.67 | (3.96) | 12.83 | |
| TC | TuanChe ADR | (0.12) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 6.90 | (12.16) | 32.75 | |
| WB | Weibo Corp | (0.24) | 10 per month | 3.18 | 0.05 | 7.48 | (5.36) | 23.98 | |
| YY | YY Inc Class | (1.91) | 8 per month | 1.82 | (0.03) | 3.61 | (3.20) | 8.81 | |
| ZH | Zhihu Inc ADR | 0.39 | 5 per month | 3.11 | 0.04 | 6.49 | (5.09) | 23.67 | |
| DOYU | DouYu International Holdings | 0.08 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 7.28 | (6.42) | 53.61 | |
| EVER | EverQuote Class A | (0.51) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 7.41 | (4.96) | 21.16 | |
| FENG | Phoenix New Media | 0.13 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 6.32 | (8.27) | 21.90 |
Trump Media Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Trump price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Trump using various technical indicators. When you analyze Trump charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Trump Media Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Trump Media stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Trump Media Technology, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Trump Media based on analysis of Trump Media hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Trump Media's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Trump Media's related companies. | 2010 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Graham Number | 2.8 | 1.81 | 2.06 | Receivables Turnover | 2.9 | 51.0 | 53.55 |
Story Coverage note for Trump Media
The number of cover stories for Trump Media depends on current market conditions and Trump Media's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Trump Media is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Trump Media's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Trump Media Short Properties
Trump Media's future price predictability will typically decrease when Trump Media's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Trump Media Technology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Trump Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trump Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 100 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.6 M |
Additional Tools for Trump Stock Analysis
When running Trump Media's price analysis, check to measure Trump Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Trump Media is operating at the current time. Most of Trump Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Trump Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Trump Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Trump Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.