Denison Mines Corp Stock Price Patterns
| DNN Stock | USD 4.24 0.07 1.62% |
Momentum 73
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.02) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.14) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.06) | Wall Street Target Price 3.7099 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.02) |
Using Denison Mines hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Denison Mines Corp from the perspective of Denison Mines response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Denison Mines using Denison Mines' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Denison using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Denison Mines' stock price.
Denison Mines Short Interest
An investor who is long Denison Mines may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Denison Mines and may potentially protect profits, hedge Denison Mines with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 2.3041 | Short Percent 0.0226 | Short Ratio 1.75 | Shares Short Prior Month 69.2 M | 50 Day MA 2.9076 |
Denison Mines Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Denison Mines' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Denison. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Denison can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Denison Mines Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Denison Mines' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Denison Mines.
Denison Mines Implied Volatility | 1.23 |
Denison Mines' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Denison Mines Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Denison Mines' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Denison Mines stock will not fluctuate a lot when Denison Mines' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Denison Mines to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Denison because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Denison Mines after-hype prediction price | USD 4.27 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Denison contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Denison Mines Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0769% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Denison Mines trading at USD 4.24, that is roughly USD 0.00326 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Denison Mines' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Denison Mines Corp options at the current volatility level of 1.23%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Denison Mines Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Denison Mines After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Denison Mines at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Denison Mines or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Denison Mines, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Denison Mines Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Denison Mines' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Denison Mines' historical news coverage. Denison Mines' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.36 and 8.18, respectively. We have considered Denison Mines' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Denison Mines is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Denison Mines Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Denison Mines Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Denison Mines is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Denison Mines backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Denison Mines, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.55 | 3.91 | 0.03 | 0.19 | 11 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.24 | 4.27 | 0.71 |
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Denison Mines Hype Timeline
On the 29th of January Denison Mines Corp is traded for 4.24. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.19. Denison is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 4.27 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is forecasted to be 0.71%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.55%. The volatility of related hype on Denison Mines is about 1117.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.43. The company reported the last year's revenue of 4.02 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (91.12 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (150 K). Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Denison Mines Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Denison Mines Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Denison Mines' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Denison Mines' future price movements. Getting to know how Denison Mines' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Denison Mines may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SU | Suncor Energy | (0.17) | 10 per month | 0.70 | 0.30 | 2.77 | (1.62) | 7.59 | |
| XOM | Exxon Mobil Corp | 0.59 | 7 per month | 0.96 | 0.16 | 2.38 | (1.51) | 5.82 | |
| EC | Ecopetrol SA ADR | 0.12 | 11 per month | 1.72 | 0.23 | 3.15 | (3.07) | 10.93 | |
| YPF | YPF Sociedad Anonima | 0.86 | 10 per month | 1.62 | 0.16 | 4.55 | (3.54) | 29.25 |
Denison Mines Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Denison price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Denison using various technical indicators. When you analyze Denison charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Denison Mines Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Denison Mines stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Denison Mines Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Denison Mines based on analysis of Denison Mines hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Denison Mines's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Denison Mines's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 376.41 | 278.99 | 320.84 | 394.79 | PTB Ratio | 3.07 | 4.11 | 4.72 | 3.87 |
Pair Trading with Denison Mines
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Denison Mines position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Denison Mines will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Denison Stock
Moving against Denison Stock
| 0.63 | 0P3O | Alerion Clean Power | PairCorr |
| 0.56 | BISI | Bisichi Mining PLC | PairCorr |
| 0.42 | 0KGH | Paycom Software | PairCorr |
| 0.41 | 0IVB | Innelec Multimedia | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Denison Mines could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Denison Mines when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Denison Mines - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Denison Mines Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Denison Mines is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Denison Mines moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Denison Mines Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Denison Mines can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Denison Mines Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Will Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector continue expanding? Could Denison diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Denison Mines. Projected growth potential of Denison fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Denison Mines data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (0.16) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.504 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Understanding Denison Mines Corp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Denison's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Denison Mines' is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Denison Mines' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Denison Mines' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Denison Mines should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Denison Mines' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.