Deutsche Post (Germany) Price Prediction

DPWA Stock  EUR 34.70  0.40  1.17%   
As of 28th of November 2024, the value of RSI of Deutsche Post's share price is approaching 34 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Deutsche Post, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

34

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Deutsche Post's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Deutsche Post and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Deutsche Post's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Deutsche Post AG, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Deutsche Post hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Deutsche Post AG from the perspective of Deutsche Post response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Deutsche Post to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Deutsche because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Deutsche Post after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 34.7  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Deutsche Post Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.3630.2038.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
33.5935.4337.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
33.7634.8035.84
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Deutsche Post. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Deutsche Post's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Deutsche Post's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Deutsche Post AG.

Deutsche Post After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Deutsche Post at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Deutsche Post or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Deutsche Post, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Deutsche Post Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Deutsche Post's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Deutsche Post's historical news coverage. Deutsche Post's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.86 and 36.54, respectively. We have considered Deutsche Post's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
34.70
34.70
After-hype Price
36.54
Upside
Deutsche Post is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Deutsche Post AG is based on 3 months time horizon.

Deutsche Post Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Deutsche Post is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Deutsche Post backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Deutsche Post, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.14 
1.84
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
34.70
34.70
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Deutsche Post Hype Timeline

Deutsche Post AG is currently traded for 34.70on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Deutsche is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on Deutsche Post is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 34.70. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 2.0. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Deutsche Post AG last dividend was issued on the 9th of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Deutsche Post Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Deutsche Post Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Deutsche Post's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Deutsche Post's future price movements. Getting to know how Deutsche Post's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Deutsche Post may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ZTOAZTO Express 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 3.74 (3.96) 11.64 
EW1Expeditors International of 0.00 0 per month 1.39 (0.04) 1.97 (2.27) 9.77 
8SPSuperior Plus Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.1) 3.36 (4.74) 20.22 
39O1Origin Agritech 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 8.09 (5.38) 24.06 
INVNIdentiv 0.00 0 per month 2.12  0.08  5.61 (4.25) 14.01 
IUI1INTUITIVE SURGICAL 0.00 0 per month 1.07  0.1  3.28 (1.96) 10.30 
INLIntel 0.00 0 per month 2.26  0.1  6.80 (3.69) 13.89 
RS6Reliance Steel Aluminum 0.00 0 per month 1.38  0.09  2.94 (2.17) 13.51 
RRURolls Royce Holdings plc 0.00 0 per month 1.96  0.03  3.66 (4.31) 10.56 
XYTACHINA HUARONG ENERHD 50 0.00 0 per month 12.41  0.13  50.00 (33.33) 233.33 

Deutsche Post Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Deutsche price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Deutsche using various technical indicators. When you analyze Deutsche charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Deutsche Post Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Deutsche Post stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Deutsche Post AG, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Deutsche Post based on analysis of Deutsche Post hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Deutsche Post's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Deutsche Post's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Deutsche Post

The number of cover stories for Deutsche Post depends on current market conditions and Deutsche Post's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Deutsche Post is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Deutsche Post's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Deutsche Post Short Properties

Deutsche Post's future price predictability will typically decrease when Deutsche Post's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Deutsche Post AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Deutsche Post's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Deutsche Post's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 B

Complementary Tools for Deutsche Stock analysis

When running Deutsche Post's price analysis, check to measure Deutsche Post's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Deutsche Post is operating at the current time. Most of Deutsche Post's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Deutsche Post's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Deutsche Post's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Deutsche Post to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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