Graftech International Stock Price Prediction
| EAF Stock | USD 2.03 0.08 3.79% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
65
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.64) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.10) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.41) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.35) | Wall Street Target Price 1.625 |
Using GrafTech International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GrafTech International from the perspective of GrafTech International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in GrafTech International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying GrafTech because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
GrafTech International after-hype prediction price | USD 2.29 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
GrafTech |
GrafTech International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of GrafTech International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GrafTech International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GrafTech International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
GrafTech International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting GrafTech International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GrafTech International's historical news coverage. GrafTech International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.11 and 8.55, respectively. We have considered GrafTech International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
GrafTech International is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GrafTech International is based on 3 months time horizon.
GrafTech International Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GrafTech International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GrafTech International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GrafTech International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.89 | 6.26 | 0.26 | 0.08 | 5 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.03 | 2.29 | 12.81 |
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GrafTech International Hype Timeline
On the 28th of November GrafTech International is traded for 2.03. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.26, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. GrafTech is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.29 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 12.81%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.89%. The volatility of related hype on GrafTech International is about 15227.03%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.11. GrafTech International has 930.75 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 4.74, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. GrafTech International has a current ratio of 2.68, demonstrating that it is liquid and is capable to disburse its financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for GrafTech to invest in growth at high rates of return. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out GrafTech International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.GrafTech International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to GrafTech International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GrafTech International's future price movements. Getting to know how GrafTech International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GrafTech International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BE | Bloom Energy Corp | 1.35 | 10 per month | 2.91 | 0.17 | 7.90 | (4.95) | 62.65 | |
| MVST | Microvast Holdings | 0.01 | 8 per month | 5.50 | 0.11 | 13.56 | (10.71) | 358.33 | |
| SLDP | Solid Power | (0.03) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 5.45 | (6.19) | 19.18 | |
| ENVX | Enovix Corp | (0.46) | 10 per month | 5.55 | (0.02) | 9.59 | (8.14) | 34.07 | |
| FREY | FREYR Battery SA | 0.45 | 5 per month | 4.86 | 0.10 | 13.17 | (8.98) | 79.43 | |
| POLA | Polar Power | (0.34) | 3 per month | 5.77 | 0.01 | 12.77 | (10.61) | 45.49 | |
| OPTT | Ocean Power Technologies | (0.01) | 10 per month | 4.66 | 0.13 | 12.50 | (10.00) | 55.58 | |
| PPSI | Pioneer Power Solutions | (0.48) | 9 per month | 2.48 | 0.12 | 8.48 | (4.82) | 23.15 | |
| EOSE | Eos Energy Enterprises | (0.12) | 9 per month | 5.26 | 0.05 | 10.09 | (7.87) | 46.30 |
GrafTech International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine GrafTech price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GrafTech using various technical indicators. When you analyze GrafTech charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About GrafTech International Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of GrafTech International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as GrafTech International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of GrafTech International based on analysis of GrafTech International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to GrafTech International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to GrafTech International's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.00338 | 0.008385 | 0.00912 | 0.008664 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.34 | 0.96 | 0.91 | 1.71 |
Story Coverage note for GrafTech International
The number of cover stories for GrafTech International depends on current market conditions and GrafTech International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GrafTech International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GrafTech International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
GrafTech International Short Properties
GrafTech International's future price predictability will typically decrease when GrafTech International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of GrafTech International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential GrafTech International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GrafTech International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 257 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 176.9 M |
Complementary Tools for GrafTech Stock analysis
When running GrafTech International's price analysis, check to measure GrafTech International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GrafTech International is operating at the current time. Most of GrafTech International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GrafTech International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GrafTech International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GrafTech International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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