Ellington Residential Mortgage Stock Price Patterns
| EARN Stock | USD 5.46 0.16 2.85% |
Momentum 70
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.185 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.241 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.8989 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.9834 | Wall Street Target Price 5.75 |
Using Ellington Residential hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ellington Residential Mortgage from the perspective of Ellington Residential response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ellington Residential using Ellington Residential's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ellington using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ellington Residential's stock price.
Ellington Residential Short Interest
An investor who is long Ellington Residential may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Ellington Residential and may potentially protect profits, hedge Ellington Residential with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 5.5196 | Short Percent 0.0077 | Short Ratio 0.86 | Shares Short Prior Month 495.4 K | 50 Day MA 5.3666 |
Ellington Residential Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Ellington Residential's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ellington. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ellington can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ellington Residential Mortgage. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Ellington Residential's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Ellington Residential.
Ellington Residential Implied Volatility | 1.46 |
Ellington Residential's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ellington Residential Mortgage stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ellington Residential's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ellington Residential stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ellington Residential's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ellington Residential to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ellington because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Ellington Residential after-hype prediction price | USD 5.46 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Ellington | Build AI portfolio with Ellington Stock |
Ellington Residential After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ellington Residential at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ellington Residential or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ellington Residential, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ellington Residential Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ellington Residential's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ellington Residential's historical news coverage. Ellington Residential's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.16 and 6.76, respectively. We have considered Ellington Residential's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ellington Residential is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ellington Residential is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ellington Residential Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ellington Residential is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ellington Residential backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ellington Residential, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 1.29 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
5.46 | 5.46 | 0.00 |
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Ellington Residential Hype Timeline
Ellington Residential is currently traded for 5.46. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Ellington is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ellington Residential is about 1417.58%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.48. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.95. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ellington Residential last dividend was issued on the 30th of January 2026. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Ellington Residential Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Ellington Residential Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ellington Residential's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ellington Residential's future price movements. Getting to know how Ellington Residential's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ellington Residential may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SWKH | SWK Holdings Corp | 0.33 | 8 per month | 0.79 | 0.06 | 1.59 | (1.31) | 9.41 | |
| MPV | Barings Participation Investors | 0.42 | 9 per month | 1.99 | (0.01) | 2.69 | (3.22) | 9.22 | |
| INV | Innventure | (0.07) | 10 per month | 7.24 | 0.06 | 17.85 | (12.34) | 43.34 | |
| MCGAU | MCGAU | 0.08 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.44) | 0.39 | (0.57) | 1.13 | |
| MCGA | MCGA | (0.02) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.36) | 0.20 | (0.58) | 1.45 | |
| NOAH | Noah Holdings | 0.02 | 9 per month | 1.34 | (0) | 3.32 | (2.20) | 8.29 | |
| OXSQ | Oxford Square Capital | (0.02) | 6 per month | 1.42 | 0.02 | 3.78 | (2.22) | 8.47 | |
| SOCA | Solarius Capital Acquisition | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.34) | 0.20 | (0.10) | 0.79 | |
| EFSI | Eagle Financial Services | 0.08 | 25 per month | 1.01 | 0 | 2.35 | (1.66) | 5.82 | |
| STEX | Streamex Corp | 0.09 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 10.99 | (8.94) | 25.10 |
Ellington Residential Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ellington price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ellington using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ellington charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Ellington Residential Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Ellington Residential stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ellington Residential Mortgage, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ellington Residential based on analysis of Ellington Residential hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ellington Residential's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ellington Residential's related companies. | 2024 | 2026 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 0.93 | 1.31 | Dividend Yield | 0.12 | 0.1 |
Pair Trading with Ellington Residential
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Ellington Residential position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ellington Residential will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Ellington Stock
Moving against Ellington Stock
| 0.77 | AFCG | AFC Gamma | PairCorr |
| 0.74 | ORGN | Origin Materials | PairCorr |
| 0.7 | GPMT | Granite Point Mortgage | PairCorr |
| 0.57 | RC | Ready Capital Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.51 | ACR | Acres Commercial Realty | PairCorr |
| 0.37 | LOAN | Manhattan Bridge Capital | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Ellington Residential could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Ellington Residential when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Ellington Residential - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Ellington Residential Mortgage to buy it.
The correlation of Ellington Residential is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Ellington Residential moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Ellington Residential moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Ellington Residential can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Ellington Residential Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Will Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector continue expanding? Could Ellington diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ellington Residential. Projected growth potential of Ellington fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Ellington Residential data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.185 | Dividend Share 0.96 | Earnings Share 0.27 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.34) |
Understanding Ellington Residential requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Ellington's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Ellington Residential's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Ellington Residential's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Ellington Residential's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Ellington Residential should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Ellington Residential's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.