Encompass Health Corp Stock Price Prediction

EHC Stock  USD 102.00  0.88  0.87%   
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Encompass Health's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Oversold Vs Overbought

68

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Encompass Health's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Encompass Health Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Encompass Health's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.26
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.01
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.3043
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.7754
Wall Street Target Price
115.25
Using Encompass Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Encompass Health Corp from the perspective of Encompass Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Encompass Health Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Encompass Health's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Encompass. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Encompass can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Encompass Health Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Encompass Health's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Encompass Health.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Encompass Health to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Encompass because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Encompass Health after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 101.78  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Encompass Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
100.26101.63103.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
95.7797.1598.54
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
74.5281.8990.90
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.061.021.11
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Encompass Health. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Encompass Health's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Encompass Health's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Encompass Health Corp.

Encompass Health After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Encompass Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Encompass Health or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Encompass Health, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Encompass Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Encompass Health's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Encompass Health's historical news coverage. Encompass Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 100.40 and 103.16, respectively. We have considered Encompass Health's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
102.00
100.40
Downside
101.78
After-hype Price
103.16
Upside
Encompass Health is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Encompass Health Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Encompass Health Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Encompass Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Encompass Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Encompass Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.18 
1.39
  0.21 
  0.31 
11 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
102.00
101.78
0.22 
117.80  
Notes

Encompass Health Hype Timeline

On the 26th of November Encompass Health Corp is traded for 102.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.31. Encompass is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 101.78. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 117.8%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.22%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Encompass Health is about 81.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 101.69. About 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.37. Encompass Health Corp last dividend was issued on the 2nd of January 2025. The entity had 1257:1000 split on the 1st of July 2022. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Encompass Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Encompass Health Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Encompass Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Encompass Health's future price movements. Getting to know how Encompass Health's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Encompass Health may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PNTGPennant Group(0.46)10 per month 0.00 (0.07) 4.19 (3.97) 13.06 
ENSGThe Ensign Group(13.99)10 per month 1.63 (0.08) 2.32 (2.11) 10.08 
INNVInnovAge Holding Corp(0.02)8 per month 0.00 (0.15) 4.28 (4.81) 11.60 
MODVModivCare(0.78)11 per month 13.42 (0.01) 7.43 (8.25) 65.08 
ACHCAcadia Healthcare(0.57)8 per month 0.00 (0.29) 3.36 (5.78) 22.87 
SEMSelect Medical Holdings 0.07 10 per month 1.56  0.05  3.02 (2.50) 14.58 
ADUSAddus HomeCare 3.64 10 per month 0.00 (0.13) 2.50 (2.48) 7.74 
EHABEnhabit 0.21 8 per month 0.00 (0.07) 5.22 (4.56) 11.79 
CCMConcord Medical Services(0.34)8 per month 0.00 (0.11) 7.85 (8.15) 41.12 
NHCNational HealthCare(4.84)7 per month 0.00 (0.07) 3.12 (3.57) 11.56 

Encompass Health Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Encompass price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Encompass using various technical indicators. When you analyze Encompass charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Encompass Health Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Encompass Health stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Encompass Health Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Encompass Health based on analysis of Encompass Health hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Encompass Health's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Encompass Health's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02180.01670.0090980.008643
Price To Sales Ratio1.01.361.382.5

Story Coverage note for Encompass Health

The number of cover stories for Encompass Health depends on current market conditions and Encompass Health's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Encompass Health is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Encompass Health's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Encompass Health Short Properties

Encompass Health's future price predictability will typically decrease when Encompass Health's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Encompass Health Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Encompass Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Encompass Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding101.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments69.1 M

Complementary Tools for Encompass Stock analysis

When running Encompass Health's price analysis, check to measure Encompass Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Encompass Health is operating at the current time. Most of Encompass Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Encompass Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Encompass Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Encompass Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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