Edgewell Personal Care Stock Price Prediction
| EPC Stock | USD 35.97 0.96 2.74% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
54
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.72) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.22 | Wall Street Target Price 41.875 |
Using Edgewell Personal hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Edgewell Personal Care from the perspective of Edgewell Personal response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Edgewell Personal to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Edgewell because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Edgewell Personal after-hype prediction price | USD 35.04 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Edgewell |
Edgewell Personal After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Edgewell Personal at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Edgewell Personal or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Edgewell Personal, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Edgewell Personal Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Edgewell Personal's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Edgewell Personal's historical news coverage. Edgewell Personal's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 33.64 and 36.44, respectively. We have considered Edgewell Personal's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Edgewell Personal is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Edgewell Personal Care is based on 3 months time horizon.
Edgewell Personal Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Edgewell Personal is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Edgewell Personal backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Edgewell Personal, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 1.45 | 0.02 | 0.11 | 9 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
35.97 | 35.04 | 0.09 |
|
Edgewell Personal Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November Edgewell Personal Care is traded for 35.97. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. Edgewell is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 35.04 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Edgewell Personal is about 180.6%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.86. The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.25 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 98.6 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 937.9 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Edgewell Personal Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Edgewell Personal Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Edgewell Personal's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Edgewell Personal's future price movements. Getting to know how Edgewell Personal's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Edgewell Personal may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MTEX | Mannatech Incorporated | 0.02 | 5 per month | 2.46 | 0.02 | 5.52 | (5.35) | 16.06 | |
| IPAR | Inter Parfums | (4.75) | 10 per month | 2.01 | (0.01) | 2.23 | (3.01) | 8.04 | |
| NUS | Nu Skin Enterprises | 0.04 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.52 | (5.89) | 15.79 | |
| HELE | Helen of Troy | (0.75) | 6 per month | 1.43 | 0.12 | 4.41 | (2.63) | 22.13 | |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center | (0.18) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.28 | (4.61) | 31.55 | |
| HELKF | Henkel AG Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.64 | (0.04) | 14.77 | |
| NTCO | Natura Co Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.76 | 0.26 | 5.72 | (4.03) | 20.38 |
Edgewell Personal Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Edgewell price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Edgewell using various technical indicators. When you analyze Edgewell charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Edgewell Personal Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Edgewell Personal stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Edgewell Personal Care, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Edgewell Personal based on analysis of Edgewell Personal hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Edgewell Personal's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Edgewell Personal's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0164 | 0.0166 | 0.017 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.91 | 0.84 | 0.8 |
Story Coverage note for Edgewell Personal
The number of cover stories for Edgewell Personal depends on current market conditions and Edgewell Personal's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Edgewell Personal is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Edgewell Personal's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Edgewell Personal Short Properties
Edgewell Personal's future price predictability will typically decrease when Edgewell Personal's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Edgewell Personal Care often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Edgewell Personal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Edgewell Personal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 50.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 209.1 M |
Complementary Tools for Edgewell Stock analysis
When running Edgewell Personal's price analysis, check to measure Edgewell Personal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Edgewell Personal is operating at the current time. Most of Edgewell Personal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Edgewell Personal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Edgewell Personal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Edgewell Personal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Portfolio Comparator Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account | |
| Transaction History View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance | |
| My Watchlist Analysis Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like | |
| Competition Analyzer Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities | |
| Equity Valuation Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data | |
| Portfolio Suggestion Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios | |
| Idea Analyzer Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas | |
| Premium Stories Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope | |
| Positions Ratings Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance |