Falcon Oil (Germany) Price Patterns
| FAC Stock | EUR 0.16 0.01 6.67% |
Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.376 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (1.00) |
Using Falcon Oil hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Falcon Oil Gas from the perspective of Falcon Oil response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Falcon Oil to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Falcon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Falcon Oil after-hype prediction price | EUR 0.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Falcon |
Falcon Oil After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Falcon Oil at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Falcon Oil or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Falcon Oil, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Falcon Oil Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Falcon Oil's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Falcon Oil's historical news coverage. Falcon Oil's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 4.33, respectively. We have considered Falcon Oil's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Falcon Oil is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Falcon Oil Gas is based on 3 months time horizon.
Falcon Oil Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Falcon Oil is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Falcon Oil backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Falcon Oil, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.72 | 4.16 | 0.01 | 0.42 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.16 | 0.17 | 6.25 |
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Falcon Oil Hype Timeline
Falcon Oil Gas is currently traded for 0.16on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.42. Falcon is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.17 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 6.25%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.72%. The volatility of related hype on Falcon Oil is about 716.39%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.58. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon. Check out Falcon Oil Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Falcon Oil Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Falcon Oil's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Falcon Oil's future price movements. Getting to know how Falcon Oil's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Falcon Oil may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TKDA | Takeda Pharmaceutical | 0.1 | 7 per month | 0.58 | 0.31 | 2.78 | (1.44) | 5.52 | |
| GE9 | Genmab AS | 4.70 | 9 per month | 2.09 | (0.01) | 4.48 | (3.42) | 9.60 | |
| CLN | The City of | (0.22) | 7 per month | 1.23 | 0.07 | 2.68 | (2.21) | 6.15 | |
| R7I | RENEWABLES INFRASTRUCTURE | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.80 | (3.61) | 11.13 | |
| 5QG | NEW FOUND GOLD | 0.05 | 5 per month | 5.00 | 0.09 | 11.93 | (8.63) | 40.57 | |
| 2HZ | Odyssean Investment Trust | 0.03 | 6 per month | 1.12 | 0.04 | 2.09 | (2.62) | 5.63 | |
| 14D | tokentus investment AG | (0.02) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 6.02 | (9.09) | 56.92 | |
| GE0 | GRAYCLIFF EXPLORATION LTD | 0.01 | 3 per month | 21.66 | 0.15 | 35.42 | (46.15) | 1,837 |
Falcon Oil Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Falcon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Falcon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Falcon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Falcon Oil Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Falcon Oil stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Falcon Oil Gas, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Falcon Oil based on analysis of Falcon Oil hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Falcon Oil's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Falcon Oil's related companies.
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Complementary Tools for Falcon Stock analysis
When running Falcon Oil's price analysis, check to measure Falcon Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Falcon Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Falcon Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Falcon Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Falcon Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Falcon Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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