Falconstor Software Stock Price Prediction
| FALC Stock | USD 1.55 0.09 5.49% |
Momentum 39
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using FalconStor Software hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FalconStor Software from the perspective of FalconStor Software response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in FalconStor Software to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying FalconStor because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
FalconStor Software after-hype prediction price | USD 1.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
FalconStor |
FalconStor Software After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of FalconStor Software at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FalconStor Software or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of FalconStor Software, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
FalconStor Software Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting FalconStor Software's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FalconStor Software's historical news coverage. FalconStor Software's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 10.69, respectively. We have considered FalconStor Software's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
FalconStor Software is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FalconStor Software is based on 3 months time horizon.
FalconStor Software Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FalconStor Software is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FalconStor Software backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FalconStor Software, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.70 | 9.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.55 | 1.55 | 0.00 |
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FalconStor Software Hype Timeline
FalconStor Software is currently traded for 1.55. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. FalconStor is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.7%. %. The volatility of related hype on FalconStor Software is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.55. About 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.38. FalconStor Software last dividend was issued on the 9th of August 2019. The entity had 1:100 split on the 9th of August 2019. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in a few days. Check out FalconStor Software Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.FalconStor Software Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to FalconStor Software's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FalconStor Software's future price movements. Getting to know how FalconStor Software's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FalconStor Software may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ADCOF | Adcore Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 5.88 | (8.33) | 41.11 | |
| ZDGGF | ZOO Digital Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 69.64 | |
| AILQF | AirIQ Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.95 | |
| NBVAF | Nubeva Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 7.69 | (12.50) | 30.95 | |
| KWIK | KwikClick | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.64 | (2.33) | 40.05 | |
| ACWRF | Acceleware | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SEAC | SeaChange International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 7.00 | 0.06 | 7.69 | (5.98) | 120.35 | |
| MYIDF | Killi | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 9.13 | (12.01) | 41.34 | |
| KNEOF | KNeoMedia Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| APYP | AppYea Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.41 | 0.1 | 19.01 | (9.34) | 45.93 |
FalconStor Software Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FalconStor price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FalconStor using various technical indicators. When you analyze FalconStor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About FalconStor Software Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of FalconStor Software stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as FalconStor Software, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of FalconStor Software based on analysis of FalconStor Software hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to FalconStor Software's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to FalconStor Software's related companies.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| HITI | High Tide | |
| HITI | High Tide | |
| BAC | Bank of America |
Complementary Tools for FalconStor Pink Sheet analysis
When running FalconStor Software's price analysis, check to measure FalconStor Software's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FalconStor Software is operating at the current time. Most of FalconStor Software's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FalconStor Software's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FalconStor Software's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FalconStor Software to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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