Aberdeen Global If Stock Price Patterns
| FCO Stock | USD 3.44 0.04 1.18% |
Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Aberdeen Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aberdeen Global IF from the perspective of Aberdeen Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Aberdeen Global to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Aberdeen because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Aberdeen Global after-hype prediction price | USD 3.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Aberdeen Global Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aberdeen Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aberdeen Global After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aberdeen Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aberdeen Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aberdeen Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aberdeen Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aberdeen Global's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aberdeen Global's historical news coverage. Aberdeen Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.80 and 5.16, respectively. We have considered Aberdeen Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aberdeen Global is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aberdeen Global IF is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aberdeen Global Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aberdeen Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aberdeen Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aberdeen Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 0.22 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.44 | 3.48 | 0.29 |
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Aberdeen Global Hype Timeline
On the 19th of February Aberdeen Global IF is traded for 3.44. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.22. Aberdeen is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 3.48 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price boost on the next news is forecasted to be 0.29%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.37%. The volatility of related hype on Aberdeen Global is about 286.83%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.66. The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.84 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 4.17 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 4.81 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Aberdeen Global Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Aberdeen Global Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aberdeen Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aberdeen Global's future price movements. Getting to know how Aberdeen Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aberdeen Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MECAX | Amg Managers Cadence | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.20 | 0.25 | 1.10 | (0.94) | 2.46 | |
| GRF | Eagle Capital Growth | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.72 | 0.02 | 3.16 | (3.23) | 10.54 | |
| MCMVX | Monongahela All Cap | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.22 | 0.21 | 1.80 | (1.19) | 8.73 | |
| GDIIX | Rnc Genter Dividend | 0.18 | 1 per month | 0.35 | 0.18 | 1.28 | (1.09) | 3.12 | |
| VLEQX | Villere Equity Fund | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.43 | 0.08 | 1.24 | (0.81) | 3.51 | |
| SPFFX | Manager Directed Portfolios | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.79 | (0.02) | 1.07 | (1.30) | 3.94 | |
| MYIFX | Monetta Young Investor | 5.04 | 2 per month | 0.76 | (0.06) | 0.98 | (1.35) | 4.23 | |
| CIF | Mfs Intermediate High | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.32 | (0.05) | 0.60 | (0.59) | 2.39 | |
| TEEAX | Rbc Small Cap | 0.02 | 3 per month | 0.38 | 0.06 | 2.37 | (1.42) | 5.06 |
Aberdeen Global Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aberdeen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aberdeen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aberdeen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Aberdeen Global Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Aberdeen Global stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aberdeen Global IF, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aberdeen Global based on analysis of Aberdeen Global hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Aberdeen Global's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Aberdeen Global's related companies.
Pair Trading with Aberdeen Global
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Aberdeen Global position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Aberdeen Global will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Aberdeen Stock
| 0.61 | BX | Blackstone Group Downward Rally | PairCorr |
| 0.55 | NP | Neptune Insurance Upward Rally | PairCorr |
| 0.5 | 55O1 | Apollo Investment Corp Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.33 | CG | Carlyle Group | PairCorr |
| 0.31 | BBUC | Brookfield Business Corp | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Aberdeen Global could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Aberdeen Global when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Aberdeen Global - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Aberdeen Global IF to buy it.
The correlation of Aberdeen Global is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Aberdeen Global moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Aberdeen Global IF moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Aberdeen Global can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Aberdeen Global Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Will Asset Management & Custody Banks sector continue expanding? Could Aberdeen diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aberdeen Global. Market participants price Aberdeen higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Aberdeen Global data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Understanding Aberdeen Global IF requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Aberdeen's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Aberdeen Global's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Aberdeen Global's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aberdeen Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aberdeen Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Aberdeen Global's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.