Forge Global Holdings Stock Price Patterns
| FRGE Stock | USD 44.65 0.01 0.02% |
Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.74) | EPS Estimate Current Year (3.97) | EPS Estimate Next Year (2.05) | Wall Street Target Price 45 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.94) |
Using Forge Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Forge Global Holdings from the perspective of Forge Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Forge Global using Forge Global's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Forge using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Forge Global's stock price.
Forge Global Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Forge Global's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Forge. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Forge Global stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 25.8786 | Short Percent 0.0504 | Short Ratio 2.29 | Shares Short Prior Month 503.7 K | 50 Day MA 44.5404 |
Forge Global Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Forge Global's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Forge. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Forge can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Forge Global Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Forge Global's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Forge Global.
Forge Global Implied Volatility | 0.48 |
Forge Global's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Forge Global Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Forge Global's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Forge Global stock will not fluctuate a lot when Forge Global's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Forge Global to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Forge because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Forge Global after-hype prediction price | USD 44.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Forge contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Forge Global Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.03% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Forge Global trading at USD 44.65, that is roughly USD 0.0134 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Forge Global's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Forge Global Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.48%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Forge Global Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Forge Global After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Forge Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Forge Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Forge Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Forge Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Forge Global's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Forge Global's historical news coverage. Forge Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 44.38 and 44.92, respectively. We have considered Forge Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Forge Global is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Forge Global Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Forge Global Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Forge Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Forge Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Forge Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
44.65 | 44.65 | 0.00 |
|
Forge Global Hype Timeline
Forge Global Holdings is currently traded for 44.65. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Forge is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 103.85%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Forge Global is about 771.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 44.65. About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Forge Global was currently reported as 14.8. The company recorded a loss per share of 4.9. Forge Global Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:15 split on the 15th of April 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Forge Global Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Forge Global Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Forge Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Forge Global's future price movements. Getting to know how Forge Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Forge Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| REKR | Rekor Systems | (0.08) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.37) | 4.90 | (7.64) | 16.09 | |
| OCFT | Oneconnect Financial Technology | 0.06 | 4 per month | 0.52 | 0.03 | 1.55 | (1.11) | 4.57 | |
| PDYN | Palladyne AI Corp | 0.01 | 9 per month | 5.47 | 0 | 13.96 | (8.52) | 34.34 | |
| ALTS | ALT5 Sigma | 0.09 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 12.42 | (10.47) | 49.03 | |
| SMRT | SmartRent | (0.07) | 23 per month | 2.08 | 0.10 | 5.75 | (3.89) | 21.69 | |
| AZ | A2Z Smart Technologies | (0.23) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 7.60 | (7.74) | 25.03 | |
| LAW | CS Disco LLC | (0.04) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 6.96 | (7.18) | 26.11 | |
| RMNI | Rimini Street | (0.06) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.81 | (3.72) | 9.53 | |
| EGHT | 8x8 Common Stock | 0.04 | 9 per month | 2.85 | 0.09 | 5.70 | (4.84) | 35.10 | |
| ONTF | ON24 Inc | (0.07) | 10 per month | 1.17 | 0.11 | 4.60 | (2.39) | 39.29 |
Forge Global Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Forge price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Forge using various technical indicators. When you analyze Forge charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Forge Global Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Forge Global stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Forge Global Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Forge Global based on analysis of Forge Global hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Forge Global's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Forge Global's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 21.26 | 35.78 | 41.14 | 30.25 | PTB Ratio | 2.26 | 0.76 | 0.88 | 0.83 |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Complementary Tools for Forge Stock analysis
When running Forge Global's price analysis, check to measure Forge Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Forge Global is operating at the current time. Most of Forge Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Forge Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Forge Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Forge Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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