Jfrog Stock Price Prediction
FROG Stock | USD 37.19 0.76 2.00% |
Momentum 68
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1498 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.6768 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.7969 | Wall Street Target Price 45.2061 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.139 |
Using Jfrog hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Jfrog from the perspective of Jfrog response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Jfrog using Jfrog's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Jfrog using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Jfrog's stock price.
Jfrog Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Jfrog's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Jfrog. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Jfrog stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 32.2064 | Short Percent 0.0361 | Short Ratio 3.8 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.1 M | 50 Day MA 33.4974 |
Jfrog Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Jfrog's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Jfrog. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Jfrog can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Jfrog. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Jfrog's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Jfrog.
Jfrog Implied Volatility | 0.36 |
Jfrog's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Jfrog stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Jfrog's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Jfrog stock will not fluctuate a lot when Jfrog's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Jfrog to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Jfrog because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Jfrog after-hype prediction price | USD 38.13 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Jfrog contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Jfrog will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0225% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Jfrog trading at USD 37.19, that is roughly USD 0.008368 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Jfrog's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Jfrog options at the current volatility level of 0.36%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Jfrog |
Jfrog After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Jfrog at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Jfrog or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Jfrog, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Jfrog Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Jfrog's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Jfrog's historical news coverage. Jfrog's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.89 and 40.37, respectively. We have considered Jfrog's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Jfrog is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Jfrog is based on 3 months time horizon.
Jfrog Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Jfrog is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Jfrog backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Jfrog, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 2.24 | 0.18 | 0.36 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
37.19 | 38.13 | 0.47 |
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Jfrog Hype Timeline
Jfrog is currently traded for 37.19. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.18, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.36. Jfrog is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 38.13 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.47%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.37%. The volatility of related hype on Jfrog is about 228.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.83. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 428.49 M. Net Loss for the year was (69.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 330.2 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Jfrog Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Jfrog Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Jfrog's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Jfrog's future price movements. Getting to know how Jfrog's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Jfrog may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
FSLY | Fastly Inc | 0.25 | 7 per month | 4.93 | 0.05 | 8.01 | (7.04) | 38.29 | |
BILL | Bill Com Holdings | 0.37 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.61 | (5.08) | 41.32 | |
AYX | Alteryx | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
ASAN | Asana Inc | (1.03) | 10 per month | 3.38 | 0.11 | 9.52 | (5.83) | 53.68 | |
JAMF | Jamf Holding | 0.37 | 8 per month | 1.80 | 0 | 3.02 | (3.06) | 9.90 | |
PEGA | Pegasystems | (14.52) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.98 | (4.41) | 26.26 | |
PCOR | Procore Technologies | 0.68 | 7 per month | 1.67 | 0.09 | 3.69 | (3.04) | 20.48 | |
PWSC | Powerschool Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
GTLB | Gitlab Inc | (2.07) | 11 per month | 2.82 | 0.03 | 6.03 | (4.00) | 17.27 | |
MNDY | MondayCom | 1.34 | 8 per month | 3.26 | 0.06 | 6.35 | (4.91) | 30.74 | |
DDOG | Datadog | 2.32 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 6.21 | (4.28) | 15.86 | |
TEAM | Atlassian Corp Plc | 0.52 | 9 per month | 2.14 | 0.1 | 3.79 | (3.72) | 19.11 |
Jfrog Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Jfrog price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jfrog using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jfrog charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Jfrog Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Jfrog stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Jfrog, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Jfrog based on analysis of Jfrog hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Jfrog's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Jfrog's related companies. 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | |
PFCF Ratio | 126.03 | 49.55 | 29.93 | 28.43 |
Capex To Operating Cash Flow | 0.22 | 0.0267 | 0.0283 | 0.0269 |
Story Coverage note for Jfrog
The number of cover stories for Jfrog depends on current market conditions and Jfrog's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Jfrog is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Jfrog's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Jfrog Short Properties
Jfrog's future price predictability will typically decrease when Jfrog's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Jfrog often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Jfrog's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jfrog's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 109.7 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 522 M |
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When running Jfrog's price analysis, check to measure Jfrog's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jfrog is operating at the current time. Most of Jfrog's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jfrog's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jfrog's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jfrog to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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