Garanti Faktoring (Turkey) Price Prediction
| GARFA Stock | TRY 19.92 0.18 0.91% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
49
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Garanti Faktoring hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Garanti Faktoring AS from the perspective of Garanti Faktoring response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Garanti Faktoring to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Garanti because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Garanti Faktoring after-hype prediction price | TRY 19.92 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Garanti |
Garanti Faktoring After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Garanti Faktoring at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Garanti Faktoring or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Garanti Faktoring, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Garanti Faktoring Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Garanti Faktoring's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Garanti Faktoring's historical news coverage. Garanti Faktoring's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.87 and 21.97, respectively. We have considered Garanti Faktoring's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Garanti Faktoring is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Garanti Faktoring is based on 3 months time horizon.
Garanti Faktoring Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Garanti Faktoring is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Garanti Faktoring backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Garanti Faktoring, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 2.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
19.92 | 19.92 | 0.00 |
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Garanti Faktoring Hype Timeline
Garanti Faktoring is currently traded for 19.92on Istanbul Stock Exchange of Turkey. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Garanti is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Garanti Faktoring is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.92. About 92.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Garanti Faktoring was currently reported as 8.71. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Garanti Faktoring had 100:500 split on the 14th of May 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Garanti Faktoring Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Garanti Faktoring Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Garanti Faktoring's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Garanti Faktoring's future price movements. Getting to know how Garanti Faktoring's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Garanti Faktoring may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| THYAO | Turkish Airlines | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.63 | (0.06) | 3.23 | (2.55) | 7.35 | |
| POLTK | Politeknik Metal Sanayi | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.26 | 0.04 | 6.77 | (3.81) | 15.38 | |
| GENTS | Gentas Genel Metal | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.98 | 0.01 | 3.15 | (3.65) | 15.73 | |
| MEGMT | MEGA METAL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.56 | (3.83) | 12.82 | |
| CUSAN | Cuhadaroglu Metal Sanayi | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.14 | (0.03) | 5.23 | (3.23) | 11.59 | |
| KOZAA | Koza Anadolu Metal | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.14 | 0.01 | 5.60 | (5.03) | 15.14 |
Garanti Faktoring Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Garanti price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Garanti using various technical indicators. When you analyze Garanti charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Garanti Faktoring Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Garanti Faktoring stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Garanti Faktoring AS, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Garanti Faktoring based on analysis of Garanti Faktoring hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Garanti Faktoring's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Garanti Faktoring's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Garanti Faktoring
The number of cover stories for Garanti Faktoring depends on current market conditions and Garanti Faktoring's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Garanti Faktoring is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Garanti Faktoring's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Garanti Faktoring Short Properties
Garanti Faktoring's future price predictability will typically decrease when Garanti Faktoring's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Garanti Faktoring AS often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Garanti Faktoring's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Garanti Faktoring's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 79.5 M |
Complementary Tools for Garanti Stock analysis
When running Garanti Faktoring's price analysis, check to measure Garanti Faktoring's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Garanti Faktoring is operating at the current time. Most of Garanti Faktoring's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Garanti Faktoring's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Garanti Faktoring's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Garanti Faktoring to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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