Grid Dynamics Holdings Stock Price Patterns

GDYN Stock  USD 8.27  0.10  1.22%   
As of today, the relative strength indicator of Grid Dynamics' share price is approaching 38. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Grid Dynamics, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 40

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Grid Dynamics' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Grid Dynamics Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Grid Dynamics' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.80)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.0953
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.3955
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.466
Wall Street Target Price
12.5
Using Grid Dynamics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Grid Dynamics Holdings from the perspective of Grid Dynamics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Grid Dynamics using Grid Dynamics' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Grid using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Grid Dynamics' stock price.

Grid Dynamics Short Interest

An investor who is long Grid Dynamics may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Grid Dynamics and may potentially protect profits, hedge Grid Dynamics with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
9.9023
Short Percent
0.0623
Short Ratio
3.6
Shares Short Prior Month
3.3 M
50 Day MA
9.1108

Grid Dynamics Holdings Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Grid Dynamics' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Grid. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Grid can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Grid Dynamics Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Grid Dynamics' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Grid Dynamics.

Grid Dynamics Implied Volatility

    
  1.17  
Grid Dynamics' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Grid Dynamics Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Grid Dynamics' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Grid Dynamics stock will not fluctuate a lot when Grid Dynamics' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Grid Dynamics to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Grid because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Grid Dynamics after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 8.29  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Grid contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Grid Dynamics Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0731% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Grid Dynamics trading at USD 8.27, that is roughly USD 0.006047 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Grid Dynamics' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Grid Dynamics Holdings options at the current volatility level of 1.17%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Grid Dynamics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Grid Dynamics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.0010.5913.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.117.7110.30
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.3812.5013.88
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.090.120.13
Details

Grid Dynamics After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Grid Dynamics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Grid Dynamics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Grid Dynamics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Grid Dynamics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Grid Dynamics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Grid Dynamics' historical news coverage. Grid Dynamics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.70 and 10.88, respectively. We have considered Grid Dynamics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
8.27
8.29
After-hype Price
10.88
Upside
Grid Dynamics is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Grid Dynamics Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Grid Dynamics Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Grid Dynamics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Grid Dynamics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Grid Dynamics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.07 
2.59
  0.02 
  0.01 
10 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.27
8.29
0.24 
1,079  
Notes

Grid Dynamics Hype Timeline

Grid Dynamics Holdings is currently traded for 8.27. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Grid is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 8.29 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.24%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Grid Dynamics is about 2158.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.28. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 350.57 M. Net Income was 4.04 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 143.26 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Grid Dynamics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Grid Dynamics Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Grid Dynamics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Grid Dynamics' future price movements. Getting to know how Grid Dynamics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Grid Dynamics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CTLPCantaloupe 0.04 6 per month 0.29 (0.05) 0.76 (0.56) 2.92 
AURAurora Innovation(0.01)11 per month 0.00 (0.09) 4.32 (6.15) 19.18 
ORBSEightco Holdings(0.12)10 per month 0.00 (0.31) 10.18 (11.30) 27.56 
DCBODocebo Inc(0.48)8 per month 0.00 (0.25) 2.96 (3.89) 8.04 
IMOSChipMOS Technologies(0.36)7 per month 2.70  0.21  8.78 (4.77) 23.93 
IIIVi3 Verticals(0.30)9 per month 0.00 (0.25) 2.64 (3.93) 11.63 
RDVTRed Violet 1.90 10 per month 0.00 (0.08) 4.21 (3.78) 18.77 
PSFEPaysafe 0.05 7 per month 0.00 (0.18) 4.29 (5.16) 31.29 
ITRNIturan Location and 0.37 10 per month 1.12  0.12  4.15 (1.87) 8.15 
TSSITSS Common Stock 0.11 6 per month 0.00 (0.08) 8.77 (7.95) 55.90 

Grid Dynamics Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Grid price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Grid using various technical indicators. When you analyze Grid charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Grid Dynamics Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Grid Dynamics stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Grid Dynamics Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Grid Dynamics based on analysis of Grid Dynamics hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Grid Dynamics's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Grid Dynamics's related companies.
 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.004220.004009
Price To Sales Ratio4.423.7

Pair Trading with Grid Dynamics

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Grid Dynamics position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Grid Dynamics will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Grid Stock

  0.74MDB MongoDBPairCorr

Moving against Grid Stock

  0.39SNOW SnowflakePairCorr
  0.34FCT Firstwave Cloud TechPairCorr
  0.32ALWIT Witbe Net SAPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Grid Dynamics could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Grid Dynamics when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Grid Dynamics - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Grid Dynamics Holdings to buy it.
The correlation of Grid Dynamics is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Grid Dynamics moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Grid Dynamics Holdings moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Grid Dynamics can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Grid Dynamics Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Grid Dynamics' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Grid Dynamics Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Grid Dynamics Holdings Stock:
Check out Grid Dynamics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Will Internet Services & Infrastructure sector continue expanding? Could Grid diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Grid Dynamics. Market participants price Grid higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Grid Dynamics data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.80)
Earnings Share
0.17
Revenue Per Share
4.865
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.191
Return On Assets
0.0041
The market value of Grid Dynamics Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Grid that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Grid Dynamics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Grid Dynamics' true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Grid Dynamics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Grid Dynamics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Grid Dynamics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grid Dynamics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Grid Dynamics' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.