Chipmos Technologies Stock Price Prediction
| IMOS Stock | USD 19.58 0.18 0.93% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
29
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.49) | Wall Street Target Price 20 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.087 |
Using ChipMOS Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ChipMOS Technologies from the perspective of ChipMOS Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ChipMOS Technologies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ChipMOS because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
ChipMOS Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 19.54 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
ChipMOS |
ChipMOS Technologies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ChipMOS Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ChipMOS Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ChipMOS Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ChipMOS Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ChipMOS Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ChipMOS Technologies' historical news coverage. ChipMOS Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.95 and 21.13, respectively. We have considered ChipMOS Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ChipMOS Technologies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ChipMOS Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
ChipMOS Technologies Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ChipMOS Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ChipMOS Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ChipMOS Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 1.59 | 0.04 | 0.15 | 8 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
19.58 | 19.54 | 0.20 |
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ChipMOS Technologies Hype Timeline
ChipMOS Technologies is currently traded for 19.58. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.15. ChipMOS is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 19.54. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.2%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.26%. The volatility of related hype on ChipMOS Technologies is about 269.49%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.43. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.94. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. ChipMOS Technologies has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.13. The entity last dividend was issued on the 27th of June 2024. The firm had 10000:9355 split on the 31st of October 2016. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out ChipMOS Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.ChipMOS Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ChipMOS Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ChipMOS Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how ChipMOS Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ChipMOS Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IPGP | IPG Photonics | (2.14) | 9 per month | 1.82 | 0.03 | 4.46 | (3.32) | 11.69 | |
| AMAT | Applied Materials | 0.96 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 4.31 | (3.36) | 16.93 |
ChipMOS Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ChipMOS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ChipMOS using various technical indicators. When you analyze ChipMOS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About ChipMOS Technologies Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of ChipMOS Technologies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ChipMOS Technologies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ChipMOS Technologies based on analysis of ChipMOS Technologies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ChipMOS Technologies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ChipMOS Technologies's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0453 | 0.0544 | 0.0517 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.29 | 1.44 | 1.51 |
Story Coverage note for ChipMOS Technologies
The number of cover stories for ChipMOS Technologies depends on current market conditions and ChipMOS Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ChipMOS Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ChipMOS Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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ChipMOS Technologies Short Properties
ChipMOS Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when ChipMOS Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ChipMOS Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ChipMOS Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ChipMOS Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 734.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12.4 B |
Additional Tools for ChipMOS Stock Analysis
When running ChipMOS Technologies' price analysis, check to measure ChipMOS Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ChipMOS Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of ChipMOS Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ChipMOS Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ChipMOS Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ChipMOS Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.