Gen Restaurant Group Stock Price Patterns

GENK Stock   1.92  0.18  8.57%   
As of now, the relative strength indicator of GEN Restaurant's share price is approaching 45. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling GEN Restaurant, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 45

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of GEN Restaurant's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with GEN Restaurant Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting GEN Restaurant's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.94)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.02)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.26)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.10)
Wall Street Target Price
4.5
Using GEN Restaurant hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GEN Restaurant Group from the perspective of GEN Restaurant response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in GEN Restaurant to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying GEN because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

GEN Restaurant after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.17  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out GEN Restaurant Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.626.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.042.015.66
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.104.505.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.07-0.07-0.06
Details

GEN Restaurant After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of GEN Restaurant at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GEN Restaurant or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GEN Restaurant, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

GEN Restaurant Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting GEN Restaurant's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GEN Restaurant's historical news coverage. GEN Restaurant's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.11 and 5.82, respectively. We have considered GEN Restaurant's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.92
2.17
After-hype Price
5.82
Upside
GEN Restaurant is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GEN Restaurant Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

GEN Restaurant Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GEN Restaurant is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GEN Restaurant backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GEN Restaurant, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.49 
3.77
  0.09 
  0.01 
7 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.92
2.17
3.33 
1,984  
Notes

GEN Restaurant Hype Timeline

GEN Restaurant Group is currently traded for 1.92. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. GEN is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.17 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 3.33%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.49%. The volatility of related hype on GEN Restaurant is about 20944.44%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.93. GEN Restaurant Group currently holds 163.01 M in liabilities. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out GEN Restaurant Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

GEN Restaurant Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to GEN Restaurant's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GEN Restaurant's future price movements. Getting to know how GEN Restaurant's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GEN Restaurant may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
THCHTH International Limited 0.03 10 per month 0.00 (0.14) 5.02 (7.46) 17.70 
RRGBRed Robin Gourmet(0.07)9 per month 0.00 (0.19) 4.75 (4.87) 11.57 
CHSNChanson International Holding 0.15 5 per month 3.71  0  10.05 (5.80) 22.51 
AOUTAmerican Outdoor Brands(0.15)10 per month 2.43  0.18  4.56 (3.65) 16.09 
HOFTHooker Furniture 0.12 8 per month 1.70  0.29  6.12 (3.25) 14.96 
LIDRAeye Inc 0.09 9 per month 0.00 (0.17) 5.03 (7.34) 22.17 
SPWHSportsmans 0.02 6 per month 0.00 (0.17) 4.96 (4.96) 37.14 
KNDIKandi Technologies Group(0.06)8 per month 0.00 (0.02) 8.16 (5.88) 19.77 
IRBTIRobot 0.03 7 per month 0.00 (0.12) 21.78 (33.87) 146.53 
STKSOne Group Hospitality 0.02 7 per month 0.00 (0.08) 5.75 (6.20) 28.79 

GEN Restaurant Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine GEN price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GEN using various technical indicators. When you analyze GEN charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About GEN Restaurant Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of GEN Restaurant stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as GEN Restaurant Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of GEN Restaurant based on analysis of GEN Restaurant hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to GEN Restaurant's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to GEN Restaurant's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.80.02420.0218
Price To Sales Ratio0.180.170.19

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When determining whether GEN Restaurant Group is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if GEN Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Gen Restaurant Group Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Gen Restaurant Group Stock:
Check out GEN Restaurant Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GEN Restaurant. Market participants price GEN higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive GEN Restaurant assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.94)
Dividend Share
0.03
Earnings Share
(0.26)
Revenue Per Share
42.826
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.027
Understanding GEN Restaurant Group requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects GEN's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what GEN Restaurant's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push GEN Restaurant's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GEN Restaurant's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GEN Restaurant is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, GEN Restaurant's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.