Global Industrial Co Stock Price Prediction

GIC Stock  USD 30.16  0.13  0.43%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Global Industrial's share price is above 70 at the present time. This usually indicates that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Global, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 70

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Global Industrial's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Global Industrial Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Global Industrial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.101
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.38
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.84
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.98
Wall Street Target Price
38
Using Global Industrial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Global Industrial Co from the perspective of Global Industrial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Global Industrial using Global Industrial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Global using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Global Industrial's stock price.

Global Industrial Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Global Industrial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Global. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Global Industrial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
30.1111
Short Percent
0.0213
Short Ratio
3.69
Shares Short Prior Month
337.1 K
50 Day MA
29.4064

Global Industrial Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Global Industrial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Global. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Global can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Global Industrial Co. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Global Industrial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Global Industrial.

Global Industrial Implied Volatility

    
  0.96  
Global Industrial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Global Industrial Co stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Global Industrial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Global Industrial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Global Industrial's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Global Industrial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Global because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Global Industrial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 30.09  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Global contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Global Industrial Co will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.06% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Global Industrial trading at USD 30.16, that is roughly USD 0.0181 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Global Industrial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Global Industrial Co options at the current volatility level of 0.96%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Global Industrial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.0333.8035.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
28.1929.3930.58
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
34.5838.0042.18
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.490.490.50
Details

Global Industrial After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Global Industrial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Global Industrial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Global Industrial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Global Industrial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Global Industrial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Global Industrial's historical news coverage. Global Industrial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 28.89 and 31.29, respectively. We have considered Global Industrial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
30.16
30.09
After-hype Price
31.29
Upside
Global Industrial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Global Industrial is based on 3 months time horizon.

Global Industrial Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Global Industrial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Global Industrial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Global Industrial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.11 
1.20
  0.02 
  0.06 
6 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
30.16
30.09
0.20 
571.43  
Notes

Global Industrial Hype Timeline

On the 29th of January Global Industrial is traded for 30.16. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Global is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 30.09 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.2%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Global Industrial is about 214.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 30.22. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.32 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 60.7 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 473.4 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Global Industrial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Global Industrial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Global Industrial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Global Industrial's future price movements. Getting to know how Global Industrial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Global Industrial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ECOOkeanis Eco Tankers(0.89)11 per month 2.06  0.11  4.38 (3.36) 15.37 
BLDPBallard Power Systems(0.05)1 per month 0.00 (0.13) 4.87 (5.63) 15.31 
ASTEAstec Industries 1.26 10 per month 1.72 (0.03) 3.72 (2.82) 7.79 
LMBLimbach Holdings 4.89 12 per month 0.00 (0.08) 5.02 (5.25) 14.83 
BBSIBarrett Business Services 0.65 11 per month 0.00 (0.10) 2.11 (2.57) 15.33 
THRThermon Group Holdings(0.25)8 per month 1.22  0.27  3.70 (2.28) 15.73 
GRCGorman Rupp(1.15)10 per month 1.53  0.03  3.41 (2.44) 7.79 
PRGPROG Holdings(0.58)8 per month 1.69  0.01  3.84 (2.58) 8.53 
PLPCPreformed Line Products 1.26 5 per month 3.00  0.02  4.06 (5.33) 11.80 
GSLGlobal Ship Lease 0.46 9 per month 1.00  0.20  2.89 (2.24) 12.98 

Global Industrial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Global price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Global using various technical indicators. When you analyze Global charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Global Industrial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Global Industrial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Global Industrial Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Global Industrial based on analysis of Global Industrial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Global Industrial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Global Industrial's related companies.
 2023 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02070.03640.0474
Price To Sales Ratio1.160.650.42

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When running Global Industrial's price analysis, check to measure Global Industrial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Global Industrial is operating at the current time. Most of Global Industrial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Global Industrial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Global Industrial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Global Industrial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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