Global Industrial Co Stock Price Prediction
| GIC Stock | USD 28.52 0.56 2.00% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
39
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.19) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.42 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.615 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.87 | Wall Street Target Price 40 |
Using Global Industrial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Global Industrial Co from the perspective of Global Industrial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Global Industrial Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Global Industrial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Global. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Global can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Global Industrial Co. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Global Industrial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Global Industrial.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Global Industrial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Global because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Global Industrial after-hype prediction price | USD 28.12 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Global |
Global Industrial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Global Industrial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Global Industrial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Global Industrial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Global Industrial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Global Industrial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Global Industrial's historical news coverage. Global Industrial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.94 and 31.30, respectively. We have considered Global Industrial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Global Industrial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Global Industrial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Global Industrial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Global Industrial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Global Industrial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Global Industrial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 3.19 | 0.14 | 0.02 | 8 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
28.52 | 28.12 | 0.57 |
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Global Industrial Hype Timeline
On the 25th of November Global Industrial is traded for 28.52. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Global is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 28.12 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.57%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Global Industrial is about 2492.19%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.54. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.27 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 70.7 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 421.2 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Global Industrial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Global Industrial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Global Industrial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Global Industrial's future price movements. Getting to know how Global Industrial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Global Industrial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DSGR | Distribution Solutions Group | (1.50) | 10 per month | 1.97 | (0.01) | 3.54 | (2.89) | 18.72 | |
| CNM | Core Main | 0.23 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.49 | (3.55) | 18.95 | |
| AIT | Applied Industrial Technologies | 0.24 | 10 per month | 0.73 | 0.17 | 3.17 | (1.63) | 15.15 | |
| BXC | BlueLinx Holdings | 5.18 | 10 per month | 2.05 | 0.12 | 5.33 | (3.28) | 14.04 | |
| DXPE | DXP Enterprises | 0.69 | 8 per month | 1.64 | 0.13 | 3.89 | (2.97) | 22.06 | |
| EVI | EVI Industries | 0.36 | 6 per month | 2.98 | 0.09 | 6.92 | (4.62) | 17.71 | |
| WSO-B | Watsco Inc | 0.00 | 10 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 2.13 | 0.00 | 11.25 | |
| FERG | Ferguson Plc | 0.55 | 9 per month | 1.85 | (0.06) | 2.15 | (2.70) | 10.59 | |
| MSM | MSC Industrial Direct | 1.85 | 9 per month | 1.69 | (0.01) | 3.08 | (2.68) | 10.99 | |
| SITE | SiteOne Landscape Supply | (6.32) | 8 per month | 1.94 | 0.01 | 3.93 | (3.24) | 11.76 |
Global Industrial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Global price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Global using various technical indicators. When you analyze Global charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Global Industrial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Global Industrial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Global Industrial Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Global Industrial based on analysis of Global Industrial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Global Industrial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Global Industrial's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0404 | 0.0309 | 0.0207 | 0.0196 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.45 | 0.77 | 1.16 | 1.22 |
Story Coverage note for Global Industrial
The number of cover stories for Global Industrial depends on current market conditions and Global Industrial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Global Industrial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Global Industrial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Global Industrial Short Properties
Global Industrial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Global Industrial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Global Industrial Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Global Industrial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Global Industrial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 34.4 M |
Complementary Tools for Global Stock analysis
When running Global Industrial's price analysis, check to measure Global Industrial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Global Industrial is operating at the current time. Most of Global Industrial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Global Industrial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Global Industrial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Global Industrial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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