Prog Holdings Stock Price Patterns

PRG Stock  USD 33.37  0.03  0.09%   
The relative strength indicator of PROG Holdings' stock price is roughly 65 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 16th of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling PROG, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 65

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of PROG Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of PROG Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from PROG Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with PROG Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using PROG Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PROG Holdings from the perspective of PROG Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in PROG Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying PROG because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

PROG Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 33.34  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out PROG Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in PROG Stock please use our How to Invest in PROG Holdings guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.0339.3441.19
Details

PROG Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of PROG Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PROG Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PROG Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

PROG Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting PROG Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PROG Holdings' historical news coverage. PROG Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 31.49 and 35.19, respectively. We have considered PROG Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
33.37
33.34
After-hype Price
35.19
Upside
PROG Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PROG Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

PROG Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PROG Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PROG Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PROG Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.41 
1.84
 0.00  
  0.24 
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
33.37
33.34
0.09 
0.00  
Notes

PROG Holdings Hype Timeline

On the 16th of February 2026 PROG Holdings is traded for 33.37. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.24. PROG is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 33.34. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.41%. The volatility of related hype on PROG Holdings is about 312.93%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 33.61. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.88. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. PROG Holdings has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.31. The entity last dividend was issued on the 18th of November 2025. The firm had 1179:1000 split on the 1st of December 2020. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be within a week.
Check out PROG Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in PROG Stock please use our How to Invest in PROG Holdings guide.

PROG Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to PROG Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PROG Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how PROG Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PROG Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
WLFCWillis Lease Finance 5.88 9 per month 2.05  0.25  5.67 (3.74) 11.06 
ALGTAllegiant Travel 0.00 0 per month 1.59  0.27  5.96 (3.07) 19.84 
GSLGlobal Ship Lease 0.00 0 per month 1.35  0.06  2.58 (2.41) 6.79 
HTZHertz Global Holdings 0.00 0 per month 2.73 (0.02) 7.09 (4.96) 16.82 
SLDPSolid Power 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.17) 5.89 (7.45) 19.34 
ECOOkeanis Eco Tankers 0.00 0 per month 2.15  0.05  4.02 (3.99) 13.01 
CTOSCustom Truck One 0.00 0 per month 1.54  0.16  5.53 (3.43) 15.80 
BBSIBarrett Business Services 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 2.11 (2.50) 13.82 
GICGlobal Industrial Co 0.00 0 per month 0.83  0.17  2.67 (1.69) 5.97 
LMBLimbach Holdings 0.00 0 per month 2.63  0.13  4.34 (4.24) 14.34 

PROG Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine PROG price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PROG using various technical indicators. When you analyze PROG charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About PROG Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of PROG Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as PROG Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of PROG Holdings based on analysis of PROG Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to PROG Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to PROG Holdings's related companies.

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When running PROG Holdings' price analysis, check to measure PROG Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PROG Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of PROG Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PROG Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PROG Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PROG Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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