Gokul Refoils (India) Price Prediction
| GOKUL Stock | 58.42 0.27 0.46% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
55
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.34 |
Using Gokul Refoils hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gokul Refoils and from the perspective of Gokul Refoils response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gokul Refoils to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gokul because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Gokul Refoils after-hype prediction price | INR 58.42 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Gokul |
Gokul Refoils After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gokul Refoils at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gokul Refoils or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gokul Refoils, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gokul Refoils Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gokul Refoils' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gokul Refoils' historical news coverage. Gokul Refoils' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 55.41 and 61.43, respectively. We have considered Gokul Refoils' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gokul Refoils is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gokul Refoils is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gokul Refoils Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gokul Refoils is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gokul Refoils backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gokul Refoils, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 2.98 | 0.15 | 2.08 | 3 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
58.42 | 58.42 | 0.00 |
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Gokul Refoils Hype Timeline
Gokul Refoils is currently traded for 58.42on National Stock Exchange of India of India. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 2.08. Gokul is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.22%. %. The volatility of related hype on Gokul Refoils is about 31.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 60.50. About 92.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.71. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Gokul Refoils last dividend was issued on the 16th of September 2011. The entity had 5:1 split on the 14th of October 2009. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Gokul Refoils Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Gokul Refoils Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gokul Refoils' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gokul Refoils' future price movements. Getting to know how Gokul Refoils' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gokul Refoils may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ATFL | Agro Tech Foods | 42.80 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 5.24 | (5.62) | 14.97 | |
| HERITGFOOD | Heritage Foods Limited | (23.65) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 2.31 | (5.00) | 9.62 | |
| ICICIBANK | ICICI Bank Limited | 12.35 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 1.96 | (1.93) | 4.96 | |
| KARURVYSYA | Karur Vysya Bank | (1.35) | 4 per month | 1.78 | 0.04 | 4.43 | (2.67) | 10.52 | |
| ABDL | Allied Blenders Distillers | 4.35 | 2 per month | 2.03 | 0.12 | 4.27 | (3.76) | 13.71 | |
| FEDERALBNK | The Federal Bank | 5.48 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.61 | (3.23) | 13.37 | |
| APEX | Apex Frozen Foods | 35.69 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.48 | (5.13) | 22.41 | |
| TNTELE | Tamilnadu Telecommunication Limited | (0.15) | 2 per month | 2.91 | 0.05 | 4.99 | (5.00) | 15.07 |
Gokul Refoils Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gokul price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gokul using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gokul charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Gokul Refoils Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Gokul Refoils stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gokul Refoils and, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gokul Refoils based on analysis of Gokul Refoils hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gokul Refoils's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gokul Refoils's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Gokul Refoils
The number of cover stories for Gokul Refoils depends on current market conditions and Gokul Refoils' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gokul Refoils is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gokul Refoils' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Gokul Refoils Short Properties
Gokul Refoils' future price predictability will typically decrease when Gokul Refoils' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gokul Refoils and often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gokul Refoils' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gokul Refoils' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 99 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 563.3 M |
Other Information on Investing in Gokul Stock
Gokul Refoils financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gokul Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gokul with respect to the benefits of owning Gokul Refoils security.