Great Southern Bancorp Stock Price Patterns
| GSBC Stock | USD 60.88 1.39 2.34% |
Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.142 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.27 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.24 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.42 | Wall Street Target Price 63 |
Using Great Southern hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Great Southern Bancorp from the perspective of Great Southern response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Great Southern using Great Southern's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Great using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Great Southern's stock price.
Great Southern Implied Volatility | 0.59 |
Great Southern's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Great Southern Bancorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Great Southern's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Great Southern stock will not fluctuate a lot when Great Southern's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Great Southern to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Great because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Great Southern after-hype prediction price | USD 60.93 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Great contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Great Southern Bancorp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0369% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Great Southern trading at USD 60.88, that is roughly USD 0.0224 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Great Southern's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Great Southern Bancorp options at the current volatility level of 0.59%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Great Southern Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Great Southern After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Great Southern at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Great Southern or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Great Southern, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Great Southern Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Great Southern's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Great Southern's historical news coverage. Great Southern's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 59.04 and 62.82, respectively. We have considered Great Southern's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Great Southern is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Great Southern Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Great Southern Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Great Southern is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Great Southern backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Great Southern, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 1.89 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
60.88 | 60.93 | 0.08 |
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Great Southern Hype Timeline
Great Southern Bancorp is currently traded for 60.88. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Great is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 60.93 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Great Southern is about 3048.39%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 60.87. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 343.3 M. Net Income was 61.81 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 229.24 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Great Southern Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Great Southern Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Great Southern's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Great Southern's future price movements. Getting to know how Great Southern's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Great Southern may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IBCP | Independent Bank | 1.40 | 7 per month | 1.17 | 0.05 | 2.57 | (2.57) | 7.82 | |
| SMBC | Southern Missouri Bancorp | (0.64) | 8 per month | 1.19 | 0.12 | 3.00 | (1.77) | 10.20 | |
| THFF | First Financial | (0.96) | 9 per month | 1.42 | 0.09 | 3.55 | (2.36) | 10.39 | |
| BCAL | Southern California Bancorp | (0.22) | 11 per month | 1.22 | 0.01 | 2.16 | (1.97) | 7.03 | |
| CAC | Camden National | 1.22 | 8 per month | 1.29 | 0.16 | 3.78 | (2.43) | 10.30 | |
| MCBS | MetroCity Bankshares | (0.72) | 8 per month | 1.45 | 0.01 | 2.87 | (2.71) | 9.78 | |
| ORRF | Orrstown Financial Services | 0.12 | 9 per month | 1.32 | (0) | 2.73 | (2.49) | 8.73 | |
| SPFI | South Plains Financial | (0.35) | 11 per month | 1.31 | 0.03 | 2.82 | (2.22) | 9.14 | |
| MPB | Mid Penn Bancorp | (0.32) | 10 per month | 1.45 | 0.07 | 3.32 | (2.94) | 10.40 | |
| HTBK | Heritage Commerce Corp | (0.15) | 9 per month | 1.15 | 0.15 | 2.85 | (2.06) | 9.72 |
Great Southern Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Great price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Great using various technical indicators. When you analyze Great charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Great Southern Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Great Southern stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Great Southern Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Great Southern based on analysis of Great Southern hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Great Southern's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Great Southern's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0271 | 0.0268 | 0.027 | 0.0317 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.18 | 1.97 | 2.04 | 1.64 |
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When running Great Southern's price analysis, check to measure Great Southern's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Great Southern is operating at the current time. Most of Great Southern's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Great Southern's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Great Southern's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Great Southern to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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