Great American Bancorp Stock Price Prediction
| GTPS Stock | USD 68.24 1.24 1.85% |
Momentum 59
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Great American hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Great American Bancorp from the perspective of Great American response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Great American to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Great because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Great American after-hype prediction price | USD 68.24 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Great |
Great American After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Great American at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Great American or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Great American, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Great American Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Great American's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Great American's historical news coverage. Great American's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 66.74 and 69.74, respectively. We have considered Great American's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Great American is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Great American Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Great American Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Great American is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Great American backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Great American, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
68.24 | 68.24 | 0.00 |
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Great American Hype Timeline
Great American Bancorp is currently traded for 68.24. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Great is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Great American is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 68.24. The company last dividend was issued on the 14th of December 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Great American Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Great American Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Great American's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Great American's future price movements. Getting to know how Great American's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Great American may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PCLB | Pinnacle Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.77 | 0.02 | 1.58 | (1.05) | 8.50 | |
| FBPA | The Farmers Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.04 | (0.05) | 1.56 | (0.58) | 11.25 | |
| PNBI | Pioneer Bankshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.34 | 0.08 | 3.13 | (2.90) | 14.17 | |
| SCYT | Security Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1.90 | 0.00 | 10.42 | |
| JFWV | Jefferson Security Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1.87 | 0.00 | 5.69 | |
| BKUTK | Bank Utica Ny | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.36 | (0.01) | 1.97 | (2.83) | 8.53 | |
| CNBZ | CNB Corporation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.58 | |
| FSBH | First Southern Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1.27 | (0.90) | 55.52 | |
| AMFC | AMB Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.16 | 1.48 | (0.07) | 3.86 | |
| ELMA | Elmer Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 0.53 | 0.00 | 1.69 |
Great American Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Great price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Great using various technical indicators. When you analyze Great charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Great American Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Great American stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Great American Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Great American based on analysis of Great American hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Great American's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Great American's related companies.
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Additional Tools for Great Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Great American's price analysis, check to measure Great American's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Great American is operating at the current time. Most of Great American's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Great American's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Great American's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Great American to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.