Home Bancorp Stock Price Prediction
| HBCP Stock | USD 51.24 1.10 2.19% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
70
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.4567 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.5367 | Wall Street Target Price 51.5 |
Using Home Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Home Bancorp from the perspective of Home Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Home Bancorp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Home because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Home Bancorp after-hype prediction price | USD 51.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Home |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Home Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Home Bancorp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Home Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Home Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Home Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Home Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Home Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Home Bancorp's historical news coverage. Home Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 49.38 and 53.82, respectively. We have considered Home Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Home Bancorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Home Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Home Bancorp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Home Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Home Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Home Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 2.22 | 0.33 | 0.04 | 7 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
51.24 | 51.60 | 0.70 |
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Home Bancorp Hype Timeline
Home Bancorp is currently traded for 51.24. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.33, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Home is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 51.6 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 179.03%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.7%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.27%. The volatility of related hype on Home Bancorp is about 1471.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 51.20. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 132.49 M. Net Income was 40.24 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 124.13 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Home Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Home Bancorp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Home Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Home Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how Home Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Home Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HFBL | Home Federal Bancorp | 0.00 | 6 per month | 2.43 | (0.02) | 3.82 | (4.31) | 21.70 | |
| CWBC | Community West Bancshares | (0.12) | 10 per month | 1.07 | 0.05 | 2.64 | (2.16) | 9.14 | |
| HVBC | HV Bancorp | (0.52) | 3 per month | 2.03 | 0.09 | 2.68 | (4.11) | 18.63 | |
| OFED | Oconee Federal Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.48 | (5.28) | 12.66 | |
| CULL | Cullman Bancorp | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 1.18 | (1.64) | 4.73 | |
| FFNW | First Financial Northwest | (0.12) | 6 per month | 0.76 | (0.11) | 1.65 | (1.13) | 4.32 | |
| FCAP | First Capital | 0.48 | 8 per month | 1.89 | (0.01) | 6.22 | (3.53) | 14.42 | |
| HMNF | HMN Financial | (0.15) | 6 per month | 1.85 | 0.11 | 4.29 | (3.19) | 13.15 | |
| HTBI | HomeTrust Bancshares | (0.80) | 5 per month | 1.64 | 0.03 | 3.05 | (3.47) | 18.54 | |
| FNWB | First Northwest Bancorp | (0.15) | 10 per month | 1.70 | 0.01 | 4.11 | (2.82) | 14.21 | |
| HFWA | Heritage Financial | (0.44) | 8 per month | 1.59 | 0.08 | 3.50 | (2.26) | 19.67 | |
| LSBK | Lake Shore Bancorp | 0.00 | 5 per month | 1.25 | 0.03 | 3.69 | (2.95) | 8.55 |
Home Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Home price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Home using various technical indicators. When you analyze Home charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Home Bancorp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Home Bancorp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Home Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Home Bancorp based on analysis of Home Bancorp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Home Bancorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Home Bancorp's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0226 | 0.0239 | 0.0244 | 0.0232 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.97 | 2.47 | 2.55 | 3.49 |
Story Coverage note for Home Bancorp
The number of cover stories for Home Bancorp depends on current market conditions and Home Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Home Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Home Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Home Bancorp Short Properties
Home Bancorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Home Bancorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Home Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Home Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Home Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 75.8 M |
Additional Tools for Home Stock Analysis
When running Home Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure Home Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Home Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of Home Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Home Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Home Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Home Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.