Hca Holdings Etf Price Prediction
| HCA Etf | USD 332.24 0.76 0.23% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
36
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.248 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 6.56 | EPS Estimate Current Year 21.968 | EPS Estimate Next Year 24.6363 | Wall Street Target Price 406.305 |
Using HCA Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of HCA Holdings from the perspective of HCA Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in HCA Holdings to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying HCA because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
HCA Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 332.57 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
HCA |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of HCA Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
HCA Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of HCA Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in HCA Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of HCA Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
HCA Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting HCA Holdings' etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on HCA Holdings' historical news coverage. HCA Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 330.82 and 334.32, respectively. We have considered HCA Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
HCA Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of HCA Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
HCA Holdings Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as HCA Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading HCA Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with HCA Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 1.77 | 0.33 | 0.04 | 10 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
332.24 | 332.57 | 0.10 |
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HCA Holdings Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November HCA Holdings is traded for 332.24. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.33, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. HCA is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 332.57 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 122.07%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.23%. The volatility of related hype on HCA Holdings is about 1079.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 332.20. The company reported the last year's revenue of 64.97 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 5.24 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 23.18 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out HCA Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.HCA Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to HCA Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict HCA Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how HCA Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how HCA Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ACHC | Acadia Healthcare | (0.21) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 3.36 | (5.78) | 22.87 | |
| THC | Tenet Healthcare | (4.36) | 10 per month | 2.51 | (0.03) | 3.81 | (4.49) | 21.18 | |
| USPH | US Physicalrapy | 0.12 | 10 per month | 1.22 | 0.06 | 3.36 | (2.56) | 20.31 | |
| DVA | DaVita HealthCare Partners | (2.39) | 9 per month | 2.20 | 0.03 | 3.21 | (2.24) | 14.55 | |
| UHS | Universal Health Services | 2.48 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.22 | (4.07) | 14.88 | |
| CYH | Community Health Systems | (0.17) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 5.15 | (6.25) | 30.14 | |
| SGRY | Surgery Partners | 0.99 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.72 | (4.88) | 31.36 | |
| FMS | Fresenius Medical Care | 0.07 | 9 per month | 1.37 | 0.09 | 3.74 | (2.25) | 10.85 | |
| ADUS | Addus HomeCare | 1.59 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.13 | (2.48) | 7.74 | |
| CCRN | Cross Country Healthcare | 0.24 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 5.40 | (6.60) | 22.42 |
HCA Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine HCA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for HCA using various technical indicators. When you analyze HCA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About HCA Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of HCA Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as HCA Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of HCA Holdings based on analysis of HCA Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to HCA Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to HCA Holdings's related companies.
Story Coverage note for HCA Holdings
The number of cover stories for HCA Holdings depends on current market conditions and HCA Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that HCA Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about HCA Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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HCA Holdings Short Properties
HCA Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when HCA Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of HCA Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential HCA Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HCA Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 276.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1 B |
Other Information on Investing in HCA Etf
HCA Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether HCA Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HCA with respect to the benefits of owning HCA Holdings security.